The Cincinnati Reds had high expectations for Matt McLain in 2025, hoping he would build on a promising rookie year after missing the entire 2024 season due to shoulder surgery. Originally expected to secure a key role near the top of the lineup, McLain’s early-season performance has fallen far short of those hopes. With his offensive struggles becoming evident, Reds manager Terry Francona decided to move McLain out of the No. 2 spot, relocating him to the bottom third of the batting order.
McLain’s slash line of .176/.289/.318 reflects a significant decline from the player the Reds envisioned, and Francona’s decision highlights the team’s urgent need for more consistent run production in a competitive division.
How Strikeouts Have Undermined McLain’s Productivity
Despite some encouraging indicators like a 47.3% hard-hit rate and a 10.9% barrel rate, Matt McLain has been plagued by strikeouts this season. His 32.8% strikeout rate places him among the worst in Major League Baseball, undercutting his value as a high-contact infielder. This surge in strikeouts is particularly alarming for a player expected to put the ball in play frequently.
The difficulties go beyond quantity—McLain struggles with timing and pitch selection, often being overwhelmed by fastballs located high in the strike zone and failing to adjust effectively to breaking pitches. Opposing pitchers have taken note, reducing their use of off-speed deliveries against him because they realize they can repeatedly exploit these weaknesses. This has led McLain to frequently kill scoring opportunities, forcing Francona to minimize his exposure during critical moments.
Still Showing Potential Despite Severe Struggles
McLain’s overall tools and instincts continue to show through, even amid a troubling slump. He maintains an active base-stealing presence and has drawn walks at a decent rate of 12.1%, which are positive signs of plate discipline and baserunning ability. When contact is made, it’s often solid rather than weak, suggesting the potential for improvement remains.
However, the main issue is McLain’s inability to shorten his swing and make reliable contact with two strikes, leaving him as a high-risk, all-or-nothing batter. His current approach cannot sustain success in a lineup desperately needing stability and production from its middle infield position.
The Road Ahead for Matt McLain and the Reds
There is still time for McLain to reverse his fortunes this season, but the Reds’ margin for error is shrinking. Competing in a tough division, Cincinnati cannot afford prolonged slumps from players expected to lead offensively. Until McLain regains consistency and reduces his strikeout rate, he will likely remain low in the batting order, a far cry from the catalyst role the organization anticipated.
The Reds are watching closely to see if McLain can adjust his approach at the plate and reclaim the role he was projected to hold. His future contributions could significantly influence Cincinnati’s chances of staying competitive this year.