New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso has shown signs of breaking out of a recent slump, hitting home runs in two of his last three games after a 16-game drought. Ahead of the May 28 MLB slate, Alonso remains a top candidate for home runs with promising odds, making him a prime option for bettors focusing on Pete Alonso MLB home run picks May 28. Favorable wind conditions at the ballpark are expected to help Alonso extend his power surge during Wednesday’s games.
Alonso’s Strong Return to Power Hitting
In the 2025 season, Alonso is currently smashing the ball with remarkable power, recording an average exit velocity of 94.5 mph and a hard-hit contact rate of 56.7%. These numbers place him within the top 3% of MLB hitters, indicating elite-level contact quality. With his recent home runs helping him overcome a long homerless stretch, Alonso looks poised for continued success at the plate. The SportsLine Projection Model has set his odds to hit a home run around +330, but sportsbooks such as FanDuel offer higher odds near +360, providing good value for bettors.
Jacob Fetner, a SportsLine data analyst, explained the favorable conditions Alonso faces:
You can get a relatively high price for Alonso to hit a HR today because White Sox SP, Shane Smith, does not allow many HRs. However, Smith doesn’t often make it past the fifth inning, and the White Sox’ bullpen has allowed the fifth most HRs in the majors,
Fetner noted.
Alonso homered yesterday and has homered in two of his last three games played. He has nine of his 11 homers against right-handed pitchers and has been raking in day games (.329 avg and .999 OPS).
Wyatt Langford Emerges as a Rising Home Run Threat
Rangers outfielder Wyatt Langford, quickly ascending through the Texas minor leagues after being drafted fourth overall in 2023, has already made his presence felt with 10 home runs this season despite missing time due to an oblique strain. Langford’s performance continues to improve, solidifying his reputation as an emerging power hitter. For May 28, Langford is offered around +400 to hit a home run, with sportsbooks like FanDuel providing slightly better odds at +360 for parlay builds.
Fetner provided insight on Langford’s matchup:
Langford is facing a rookie pitcher, Paxton Schultz, making his first career start. Schultz has been solid out of the bullpen from a numbers standpoint, but his statcast metrics indicate that he is performing better than expected,
he explained.
We set the line at +350 for Langford to homer.
Tyler Stephenson Offers Valuable Long-Shot Opportunity
Reds catcher Tyler Stephenson is also a key home run pick for Wednesday, with odds reaching as high as +800 at some sportsbooks, presenting exceptional value. Stephenson battled an oblique injury that sidelined him early this season, but he has recently homered in two consecutive games during his return to form. Following a career-high 19 home runs in 2024, Stephenson appears to be warming up as a power threat once again.
According to Fetner:
While the sample size is small, Stephenson has hit lefties well in his 19 at bats against them this season. He has four extra-base hits and a 1.124 OPS against lefties in those limited at bats. Stephenson is a career .276 hitter against lefties, which means he has always seen the ball pretty well coming from that side,
highlighting why he could be a strong play against left-handed pitching.
Top Parlay Option for May 28 Home Run Betting
Combining Alonso, Langford, and Stephenson into a single parlay generates attractive odds, currently estimated at +18944 at FanDuel. This makes for a compelling wager for those seeking significant payouts from MLB home run picks. SportsLine’s Projection Model, which simulates 10,000 iterations of each game, has achieved a solid record, gaining 18.75 units in the last 50 days on MLB home run picks, lending credibility to these selections.
Recommended Sportsbooks for MLB Prop Bets on May 28
Several sportsbooks offer attractive bonuses and promotions for bettors looking to place MLB player props on Wednesday:
Caesars features a
“Bet $1, double your winnings next 10 bets”
offer using code CBSDYW.
BetMGM provides up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if the first bet loses, available with code CBSSPORTS.
FanDuel’s promotion includes
“Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets if your first bet wins,”
with no code required.
DraftKings offers
“Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets instantly,”
also requiring no code.
Fanatics Sportsbook rewards bettors with up to $1,000 in No Sweat Bets, with no code necessary.
Bet365 grants
“Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets win or lose”
under code CBSBET365.
How to Access Detailed MLB Player Projections
For enthusiasts looking to deepen their betting strategy beyond the highlighted home run picks, SportsLine provides comprehensive projections for every MLB player prop on game day. These data-driven insights can be particularly useful for refining picks and finding additional betting opportunities throughout the slate.
With Pete Alonso leading the list of top home run candidates on May 28 and valuable contributions expected from Wyatt Langford and Tyler Stephenson, this slate offers multiple lucrative options for bettors targeting power hitters. The blend of strong recent performance, favorable pitching matchups, and advantageous ballpark conditions point to an exciting day for home run-focused wagers in Major League Baseball.