Athletics outfielder and designated hitter Brent Rooker is gaining attention in MLB home run picks for May 29 as he faces off against the Blue Jays’ pitcher Jose Berrios. Despite not having the widespread name recognition of stars like Aaron Judge or Shohei Ohtani, Rooker ranks among baseball’s top home run hitters from recent seasons. After hitting the ninth-most home runs across the 2023 and 2024 campaigns, he has already launched 12 homers in 2025, including two in his last six games. On this Thursday, his odds to hit a home run stand at +400, making him a strong candidate in a short slate of MLB games.
Rooker’s recent form and advantageous matchup highlight him as a potential value pick. He will try to capitalize on Berrios’s difficulty in preventing home runs, particularly to right-handed batters like himself. These factors combine to support confidence in Rooker’s home run potential on this date.
Analysis of Brent Rooker’s Matchup Against Blue Jays’ Jose Berrios
Rooker’s favorable situation comes from Jose Berrios’s struggles this season. Although Berrios has faced more left-handed hitters, righties have been more successful against him, accounting for six of the home runs he has allowed compared to four from left-handed batters. This split works well for Rooker, a right-handed hitter poised to take advantage of the pitcher’s vulnerability.
Rooker is facing Jose Berrios who has been prone to giving up HRs and has allowed the most HRs of any MlB pitcher since 2022,
said SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner.
We set the line for Rooker to hit a HR at +350.
Although BetMGM offers the best price at +400, the best value for a parlay including Rooker is at +350 with FanDuel.
Other Notable Home Run Prospects: George Springer and Junior Caminero
Alongside Rooker, the model highlights Blue Jays’ outfielder George Springer and Rays’ young star Junior Caminero as promising home run picks for May 29. Springer, an established player with 266 career home runs, shows encouraging metrics this season including his highest on-base percentage in six years and career-best power metrics. He matches well against the Athletics’ starter Jacob Lopez, who has allowed an elevated batting average against on the road despite Lopez’s limited experience as a starter.
Springer has four HRs and a 1.136 OPS in 30 ABs vs LHPs this season compared to just a .715 OPS against righties,
Fetner noted.
A’s starting pitcher, Jacob Lopez, was good in his last start, but he only has four career starts. In nine road appearances in Lopez’ career, opposing batters are hitting .273 against him. The combination of being extended as a starter and pitching on the road is likely going to make Lopez’ home run allowed numbers climb.
Junior Caminero, a highly regarded prospect who has secured a steady role with Tampa Bay, adds youth and power potential to the list. The 21-year-old slugger recently notched his 10th home run of the season, boasting the highest average bat speed in the league at 78.2 mph. He faces Rays’ home pitcher Ryan Gusto, whose numbers at home include a 5.46 ERA and 35 hits allowed in fewer than 30 innings, indicating a vulnerable matchup.
Caminero has 4 multi-hit games over his last six games played, and today he is facing Ryan Gusto who has a 5.46 ERA at home and 35 hits allowed in just 29 2/3 innings pitched at home,
Fetner said. FanDuel again offers the best odds for this prop bet.
Where to Access MLB Player Prop Bets for May 29
Fans looking to place bets on MLB home run props this Thursday have multiple sportsbook options to consider, many offering enticing promotions. Caesars Sportsbook offers a
“Bet $1, double your winnings next 10 bets”
deal using promo code CBSDYW. BetMGM provides up to $1,500 in bonus bets if a first wager loses with the code CBSSPORTS. FanDuel has a first-win offer where a $5 bet earns $200 in bonus bets, requiring no code. DraftKings features a similar $5 bet with an instant $200 bonus, also code-free. Fanatics Sportsbook presents up to $1,000 in “No Sweat Bets” with no promo code, while bet365 includes a $5 bet triggering $150 in bonus bets win or lose after applying CBSBET365.
The Impact of Advanced Data Models on MLB Home Run Betting
Advanced analysis underpins the suggested picks, with the SportsLine Projection Model running simulations of every MLB game 10,000 times each day. This statistically driven approach has yielded profitable results, with a gain of 15.75 units on home run props over the past 51 days. The model’s capability to identify matchups that favor power hitters like Rooker, Springer, and Caminero strengthens confidence in these betting recommendations.
Beyond these highlighted players, the model offers projections for a variety of player props, providing bettors with a comprehensive resource for shaping a strategic approach to MLB prop bets every day.
Why Brent Rooker’s Success Matters for May 29 Bets
Brent Rooker’s inclusion as a leading home run pick is significant because it demonstrates how emerging talent can present valuable betting opportunities beyond the most famous stars. His strong recent performance combined with a pitcher who is susceptible to home runs creates a compelling case for bettors focused on MLB home run picks for May 29. This matchup, along with the sleeper success of players like Caminero and the established power of Springer, could influence the outcomes of MLB prop betting sharply on a limited game day.
As the season progresses, the ability to exploit favorable pitch-to-batter matchups supported by data models will likely continue to play a crucial role for both bettors and analysts tracking home run trends across MLB.