The MLB home run prop market for May 29 is energized by a combination of emerging talents and established power hitters facing pitchers vulnerable to the long ball. Junior Caminero MLB home run prop bet May 29 stands out as a promising option among a list of players poised to capitalize on favorable matchups and ballpark conditions, making this an exciting day for bettors targeting home run props.
Multiple top contenders like Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Jonathan Aranda, and Isaac Paredes have been performing strongly, with recent trends and hard-hit data suggesting several big hits are likely. Meanwhile, pitchers such as Shane Baz and Ryan Gusto have demonstrated struggles against power hitters, enhancing the potential for a surge in homers throughout today’s game schedule.
Key Home Run Prop Candidates to Watch on May 29
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. faces Oakland Athletics pitcher Jacob Lopez in what looks like a matchup favoring power hitting. Guerrero Jr. is entering this contest with a solid season batting line holding a .279 average, seven home runs, and 23 RBIs. His impressive metrics include a 92.4 mph average exit velocity and a hard-hit rate of 51.8%, coupled with a 14.3% barrel rate, underscoring his knack for making strong contact capable of driving the ball deep.
Junior Caminero draws a favorable starting pitcher in Houston’s Ryan Gusto, who has posted a 4.58 ERA and has shown difficulty keeping home runs at bay. Caminero is carrying a .249 batting average with 10 home runs and 26 RBIs for the season, but his recent breakout is particularly noteworthy. Over the last six games, he has slashed .391/.417/.826 with two homers and six RBIs, maintaining a low 12.5% strikeout rate and a robust 1.243 OPS. This combination of power and consistent contact makes Caminero a prime long ball threat on May 29.
Jonathan Aranda is hitting a hot streak himself, matched up against the same Houston starter, Ryan Gusto. Aranda’s season stats show a .315 batting average with seven home runs, 30 RBIs, and 25 runs scored. Recently, his production has spiked dramatically, with a .600/.667/1.000 slash line over the past three games, including a home run and five RBIs. His high walk rate of 16.7% and solid hard-hit approach reinforce his candidacy as one of the top MLB home run prop bets today.
James Wood continues to impress with raw power in his rookie season for the Washington Nationals. He is entering May 29 batting .287 with 15 home runs and 40 RBIs. Recently, Wood has exploded with three home runs in his last four games, paired with a perfect slugging of 1.000 and an OPS of 1.353. He faces Emerson Hancock, a pitcher struggling with a high 5.95 ERA and frequent hard contact allowed, which suggests Wood has a great opportunity to add to his home run total while also contributing on the base paths with eight stolen bases this season.
Isaac Paredes of the Houston Astros has quietly established himself as a dangerous power hitter this year. Slashing .267 with 11 home runs and 32 RBIs in 2025, Paredes is entering a prime home run chance against Astros pitcher Shane Baz, who has a 4.94 ERA and is vulnerable to hard contact. Over his last 10 games, Paredes is slugging .700 with five homers and a 1.041 OPS, combining solid contact skills with underrated power potential, making him a smart pick for home run props on May 29.
Why These Home Run Props Could Pay Off Today
The blend of rising MLB stars like Junior Caminero and the proven sluggers such as Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and James Wood, matched with favorable pitching matchups, creates an ideal scenario for home runs. Additionally, the conditions in several ballparks today are conducive to the ball carrying well, enhancing the likelihood of multiple long balls during the games.
Pitchers on the mound, including Ryan Gusto and Shane Baz, have shown susceptibility to power hitting, adding to these batters’ appeal as top home run prop selections. Bettors looking for value should consider these matchups closely, as recent performance trends point to players who are not only producing consistently but also entering games in excellent hitting form.
Monitoring odds with DraftKings Sportsbook will be crucial since lines can shift quickly before the games, but the combination of data, recent performance, and pitcher vulnerability strongly supports these picks. The continued development of these select hitters and their ability to exploit today’s matchups could lead to rewarding returns for savvy MLB home run prop bettors.