The Philadelphia Phillies continue to showcase their strength as a National League contender, currently riding a 12-3 winning streak over their last 15 games. Central to their offensive success is Kyle Schwarber, the 32-year-old outfielder who recently tied for the second-most home runs in Major League Baseball with his 19th homer of the season. Schwarber’s consistency at the plate has bettors and analysts backing his performance in Kyle Schwarber Friday MLB total bases picks for the upcoming Friday games.

SportsLine’s advanced model, which has been running simulations to identify valuable MLB prop bets, predicts Schwarber will exceed 0.5 total bases in Friday’s matchups. This prop is popular among bettors navigating a full slate of MLB games, with online sportsbooks offering a variety of player prop markets. Schwarber’s recent performance and matchup outlook position him as a favorite for this bet among other total bases options presented for Friday.

Schwarber’s Recent Form and Matchup Advantage Against Brewers

Kyle Schwarber has been a formidable presence at the plate, recording at least one hit in four of his last five games and maintaining a 72.2% hit rate since May 10. Known primarily for his power-hitting capabilities, Schwarber’s .252 batting average masks his elite contact quality. His hard-hit rate outperforms 99% of players in the league, and both his average exit velocity and barrel percentage rank in the top 5%. These metrics make him a difficult opponent for pitchers.

The Phillies are hosting the Milwaukee Brewers for a three-game series, with left-handed pitcher DL Hall scheduled to start in just his second appearance this season. Although Schwarber bats left-handed, he surprisingly holds a higher batting average (.293) against lefties this year. The model projects Schwarber to garner 1.7 total bases in this game, reflecting confidence in his ability to deliver against Hall. Sportsbooks like bet365 offer competitive odds on Schwarber’s total bases, enhancing the value of this pick for bettors.

Aaron Judge’s Potential to Surpass Total Bases Expectations Against Dodgers

Aaron Judge has struggled to exceed 1.5 total bases in his recent encounters with the Los Angeles Angels due to a strategic avoidance resulting in four walks across three games, which do not contribute to total bases. However, with a high-profile World Series rematch against the Los Angeles Dodgers set for Friday, Judge figures to see a more aggressive approach from Dodgers manager Dave Roberts and his coaching staff.

Judge has surpassed this total base threshold in four of five recent games where he had four or more at-bats, demonstrating his consistent offensive impact. The model forecasts Judge will achieve 2.5 total bases against Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin, who has struggled recently, posting an 8.00 ERA over his last two starts. Notably, Judge leads MLB with 153 total bases and is hitting an exceptional .391 average with a 1.227 OPS this season. Bet365 again offers favorable odds for this prop, making it a strong candidate for bettors.

Matt Olson’s Favorable Matchup and Value Play Against Red Sox

Matt Olson presents a compelling plus-money wager exceeding 1.5 total bases at +135 odds. Olson’s career performance against Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito is impressive, sporting a .539 average with seven hits, including four home runs, in 13 at-bats. The Braves’ matchup against the Red Sox provides Olson with multiple at-bats to capitalize on this trend.

Following a strong showing in a recent Braves doubleheader, where he accumulated two total bases in each game, Olson remains an elite power hitter. Despite a dip in home runs from 54 in 2023 to 29 last season, Olson maintained a steady average of 1.7 total bases per game. With the model projecting 1.8 total bases for Olson Friday, this bet offers both strong projected return and matchup advantage. DraftKings Sportsbook is featuring the best odds for this pick, complemented by a promo code offering new users substantial bonus bets.

Using Data-Driven Picks to Maximize Friday’s MLB Betting

The detailed projections and player prop recommendations, including Kyle Schwarber Friday MLB total bases picks, come from SportsLine’s data scientists who rely on extensive simulations—a total of 10,000 game iterations—for accuracy. This analytical approach has resulted in a 56% win rate on top MLB picks and a strong positive return on home run prop bets since the season’s start.

For bettors seeking to leverage expert insights, SportsLine also provides a wider array of player props and game predictions. Experts like Matt Severance, who boasts a 131-66 record recently, and Bruce Marshall, who has generated over nine units in profit across 35 MLB picks, are among the trusted professionals offering guidance. Their selections include underdog picks and moneyline bets aimed at maximizing value and capitalizing on the dynamic Friday MLB schedule.

As the Phillies aim to extend their winning streak and key players like Schwarber continue producing, the upcoming Friday slate presents fertile ground for strategic betting. The combination of seasoned power hitters facing advantageous matchups and robust predictive modeling equips bettors to make informed decisions with strong potential returns.