The Detroit Tigers aim to continue their strong momentum with a five-game winning streak as they face the Kansas City Royals on Saturday. One standout player, Riley Greene, is a top MLB home run pick for Saturday after launching his 13th home run on Friday. Sports analysts highlight Greene’s favorable matchup against Royals pitcher Michael Wacha, with odds at +560 for Greene to hit another home run this weekend.
Simultaneously, Francisco Lindor of the New York Mets ranks among the leading hitters to watch, with a +500 home run prop for Saturday’s game. Lindor recently delivered a multi-homer performance that energized fans and analysts alike, making him a compelling choice for bettors interested in high-odds player props.
Riley Greene’s Consistent Power Hitting Against Right-Handed Pitchers
Riley Greene, at just 24 years old, has shown excellent power, especially against right-handed pitchers. He has hit 12 of his 13 home runs this season off righties, and Michael Wacha fits this profile. Wacha has struggled with left-handed hitters lately, allowing an average batting average of .287. Greene’s recent form includes hitting safely in three of the last four games, highlighted by a three-hit effort against the San Francisco Giants.
FanDuel is offering a great price considering the consensus line is +410 for Greene to hit a homer,
said Jacob Fetner, SportsLine data analyst.
While Wacha has been really good at home this season, the weather is expected to be hitter friendly with the home run index at an 8 out of 10.
Francisco Lindor’s Strong Home Performance for the Mets
Lindor impressed on Friday with two solo home runs, hitting from both sides of the plate in a 4-2 win over the Colorado Rockies. This marked his second multi-homer game of the season, raising his total to 12 homers. His overall batting average stands at .278, but Lindor performs better at Citi Field, boasting a .350 average at home. Ten of his homers have come at home games, making his matchup against Rockies pitcher Antonio Senzatela crucial, especially since Senzatela leads the league in hits allowed with 90 this season.
The weather is expected to be a bit gloomy with a decent chance of rain and wind blowing left to right today, but the wind blowing left to right is better than blowing in,
Fetner noted.
We set the line at +350 for Lindor to home and if we downgrade a little with the weather, we would still have positive value at the +500 odds being offered.
Nolan Arenado’s Advantage Against Rangers’ Patrick Corbin
Veteran third baseman Nolan Arenado remains a formidable home run threat, especially when facing left-handed pitchers like Patrick Corbin. Corbin has a high home run allowance, conceding nine long balls in nine starts this season after surrendering 25 last year. Arenado, who has already hit six home runs in 2025, including two in his last eight games, has a successful history against Corbin.
Arenado has 59 plate appearances against Patrick Corbin and has a .892 OPS in his career against him,
Fetner explained.
There is a ton of familiarity between batter and pitcher here.
Where to Place Your MLB Home Run Prop Bets on Saturday
Several sportsbooks provide extensive options for MLB player props this Saturday. Caesars offers a promo to double winnings on the next 10 bets with code CBSDYW. BetMGM is offering up to $1,500 in bonus bets if the first wager loses, using promo code CBSSPORTS. FanDuel’s promotion rewards bettors with $200 in bonus bets after a $5 first bet win, requiring no code. DraftKings also allows bettors to receive $200 in bonus bets upon staking $5, with no code necessary. Fanatics features No Sweat Bets up to $1,000 without the need for a promo code. Additionally, bet365 provides $150 in bonus bets regardless of win or loss with code CBSBET365.
Additional MLB Prop Picks and Model Insights for Saturday
The SportsLine Projection Model uses 10,000 simulations per game and has demonstrated consistent success, with a gain of 21.35 units on MLB home run picks over the past 53 days. After accurately predicting two home run bets on Thursday, the model’s latest projections identify high-value MLB home run prop bets for Saturday, including the highlighted players. Sports fans and bettors can access these detailed predictions and more player prop insights through SportsLine’s daily blog and their website’s player prop section to enhance their betting strategies.