
On Sunday, baseball fans have multiple exciting player prop betting opportunities, with Carlos Correa MLB player prop picks Sunday standing out for bettors looking to capitalize. Corbin Burnes will pitch for the Arizona Diamondbacks against the Nationals in a game that could sway several prop markets, while Shohei Ohtani and Correa themselves will also be key players under the spotlight. These matchups offer promising chances for hefty returns through targeted MLB player props.
Corbin Burnes Faces Nationals After Previous Struggles
Pitching for his third team in three seasons, Corbin Burnes continues to showcase his impressive skill set, although he experienced difficulties against the Nationals earlier this year. On April 6, Burnes allowed seven hits—the most he has surrendered this season—and struck out only three, marking a season-low in strikeouts and an unusually high 7.20 ERA for that outing. This Sunday, Burnes will attempt to improve on his performance when the Arizona Diamondbacks host Washington at 4:10 p.m. ET.
The Nationals enter this contest with a hot offense, having won four consecutive games where they scored at least nine runs and recorded no fewer than 11 hits per game. Burnes’ prop betting numbers for hits allowed and strikeouts are both set at 5.5, yet the predictive model leans toward him giving up slightly more hits, estimating 5.8 on Sunday. This outlook aligns with the over 5.5 hits allowed bet, which is priced at +128 odds on bet365—a notable value option for those interested.
Carlos Correa’s Offensive Surge Boosts Prop Prospects
Carlos Correa has demonstrated a major comeback since returning from a concussion on May 23. His batting average has risen from .236 pre-injury to an impressive .346 post-return, including a recent five-game hitting streak. Notably, Correa recorded a double on Saturday before an ejection from the on-deck circle, which means he is entering Sunday’s game slightly more rested.
For this matchup, Correa is facing veteran pitcher Luis Castillo, a three-time All-Star who recently struggled by allowing nine hits in his previous start. In their last meeting this year, Correa went 2-for-3 with two doubles against Castillo. The model favors Correa going over 1.5 total bases on Sunday, with betting odds at +155, making this an appealing prop pick given Correa’s current hot streak and familiarity with Castillo’s pitching.
Shohei Ohtani Poised to Score Against the Yankees
Shohei Ohtani has been a constant offensive threat for the Los Angeles Dodgers, who overwhelmingly defeated the New York Yankees 18-2 on Saturday. During that game, Ohtani matched the Yankees’ run total single-handedly, although he was substituted with a pinch hitter in the sixth inning. Over his last five games, Ohtani has scored nine runs, leveraging his role as the Dodgers’ leadoff hitter on a team that leads Major League Baseball in runs scored.
On Sunday night, Ohtani will face left-hander Ryan Yarbrough, against whom he posts a .400 average (4-for-10), with all hits being extra-base hits. The model projects Ohtani to score around 0.67 runs, making the over 0.5 runs scored a solid bet at odds of -155. This prop offers a strategic opportunity, especially when combined with various sportsbook promotions like the DraftKings promo code.
How Data and Expert Insights Shape Sunday’s Player Prop Picks
With a full Sunday game schedule, including multiple contests beginning after 4 p.m. ET, MLB player prop betting has never been more accessible. SportsLine’s computer model simulates each game 10,000 times and maintains a winning percentage of 56% on top-rated MLB picks this season. Impressively, it carries an 18.35-unit profit on home run prop wagers over the past 54 days.
The projections for Burnes, Correa, and Ohtani represent just a fraction of what the model identifies as value bets across Sunday’s slate. Users can explore full player prop projections and combine selections into parlays, with one notable parlay boosted to +857 odds at FanDuel, though odds are subject to change.
Furthermore, expert bettors enhance this data-driven approach. Prop Bet Guy, for example, boasts a 17-7 record (+855 units) over his last 24 MLB player prop picks and is contributing top bets for Sunday. Other specialists like Jacob Fetner and the Inside the Lines team provide additional perspectives to refine bets.
Bruce Marshall, another seasoned SportsLine expert, holds a 38-34 record (+757 units) over his latest 72 MLB selections and has locked in three fresh picks for Sunday. Among these is an underdog money line wager that could yield a significant payout, highlighting the diversity of betting angles available for the day’s contests.
Implications for MLB Bettors and What to Watch Next
Sunday’s MLB prop betting scene is infused with urgency and promise, particularly for followers of Carlos Correa MLB player prop picks Sunday, alongside bets on Burnes and Ohtani. The blend of statistical modeling and expert insight can empower bettors to navigate a complex slate with increased confidence, capitalizing on players showing strong recent performances or favorable matchups.
As the season progresses, following these player trends and verifying model updates will remain crucial. With strong betting momentum behind home run props and player scoring odds, especially for those in peak form, Sunday offers a critical testing ground for both novice and veteran bettors alike.