The 2025 French Open women’s singles draw has narrowed to six players, with Madison Keys and Coco Gauff facing off in a crucial quarterfinal match scheduled for Wednesday at 5 a.m. ET. The winner will advance to the semifinals to play the victor of the Mirra Andreeva versus Lois Boisson contest, which follows the Keys-Gauff match. According to Caesars Sportsbook, Gauff enters as the favorite at -220, while Keys is listed at +170, with an over/under set at 21.5 total games. This high-stakes encounter between two talented Americans highlights the intensity of the tournament’s late stages and includes various betting options available to sports enthusiasts.
Expert Betting Insights and Popular Wagering Opportunities
Sportsbooks offer numerous proposition bets for the matchup, including player ace counts and game spreads. New users can benefit from Caesars Sportsbook’s promotional offers to boost their bets on the French Open. Tennis analyst Blake Von Hagen, known for his sharp predictions and valuable insights, has provided detailed picks for this contest. Von Hagen’s expertise is reliable, having gone 20-9 (+11.4 units) at the 2024 Rome Masters 1000, including several upsets and significant returns for bettors. Recently, he has been especially successful with an 8-1 record (+6.07 units) on top betting selections. His confidence in the Keys versus Gauff match has produced a two-pick parlay offering +320 odds, which could yield sizable returns on a $100 wager.
Recommended Bets: Keys +3.5 Games and Gauff Under 1.5 Aces
Von Hagen’s top picks for the Keys-Gauff match include:
- Madison Keys +3.5 games (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
- Coco Gauff under 1.5 aces (+120) at bet365
- Combined parlay of these picks at +320 odds
These selections reflect the tight competition expected between the two players, balancing Keys’ ability to keep the games close with Gauff’s declining ace count on clay courts.
Why Madison Keys Is a Strong Bet at +3.5 Games
Keys has claimed victory in three of five previous matches against Gauff, including their last two encounters. Notably, she won her first Grand Slam title at the Australian Open earlier this year and has been in consistent form since. In this tournament, Keys has dominated several matches in straight sets, signaling strong momentum heading into this critical phase. Despite Gauff being the favorite, Keys has historically performed well under pressure, especially given Gauff’s occasional struggles when favored as the younger competitor. This dynamic makes the +3.5 game spread an attractive betting option on FanDuel, which also offers promotional codes for added value.
Assessing Coco Gauff’s Ace Performance on Clay
While Gauff averages just over three aces per match this season, her performance on clay has been less impressive, with only five aces recorded in her first four matches at the French Open. During their sole clay-court meeting in Madrid last year, she served only one ace against Keys. Gauff’s ace statistics also remain modest on faster surfaces, averaging about two aces per encounter with Keys across four meetings. Because these players are not typically known for high ace counts, betting on Gauff to record fewer than 1.5 aces carries value, especially at the plus-money price offered by bet365. New bettors can enhance potential returns by using bet365 bonus codes.
Additional French Open Betting Opportunities Available
Von Hagen’s well-analyzed picks for the Keys-Gauff match offer tennis bettors actionable insights for this high-profile quarterfinal. For those interested in more tennis betting selections across the French Open, SportsLine provides extensive coverage and expert guidance designed to maximize winnings throughout the tournament’s final rounds.