Trevor Lawrence, often hailed as a generational talent since his Clemson days, entered the NFL as the No. 1 overall draft pick and secured one of the most lucrative quarterback deals in the league. However, after signing a five-year, $275 million contract with the Jacksonville Jaguars, he now faces heightened scrutiny ahead of the 2025 season as he seeks to justify such a massive investment.
Despite the high expectations that come with his Trevor Lawrence NFL contract and 2025 season expectations, his recent performance has raised questions about his trajectory and durability going forward.
Setbacks in the 2024 Season Impacted Performance and Durability
The 2024 season marked a setback for Lawrence, as inconsistency and turnovers plagued his play. His campaign was cut short after just 10 games due to a shoulder injury followed by a concussion that required surgery. In those games, Lawrence recorded a career-low completion percentage of 60.6%, throwing for 2,045 yards along with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions.
Pro Football Focus expert Zoltán Buday wrote,
“Lawrence is coming off his worst season since his rookie campaign,”
highlighting the drop in his overall grade, which fell to 19th in 2024 compared to his top 15 rankings during his second and third seasons.
Buday also noted,
“simultaneously put him under pressure to play at a higher level,”
referencing the weight of Lawrence’s contract signed before the underwhelming season.
Besides on-field struggles, durability concerns surfaced as well. Whereas Lawrence surpassed 1,000 snaps in each of his first three seasons, last year he played in only 536 snaps, the lowest of his career.
High Expectations Backed by Past Achievements and Team Support
Lawrence’s climb to earning Pro Bowl honors and leading the Jaguars to an AFC South title in 2022, especially highlighted by a memorable 27-point playoff comeback win against the Los Angeles Chargers, set a high benchmark. The Jaguars and their fan base expect him to return to that caliber of play consistently.
New head coach Liam Coen aims to support Lawrence with strengthened offensive weapons. PFF praises Jacksonville’s wide receiver duo of Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, calling them
“one of the most exciting young wide receiver duos in the NFL,”
which could prove pivotal for Lawrence’s resurgence.
Pro Football Focus Sees Lawrence as a Rebound Candidate with Room to Grow
While optimistic about a potential bounce-back, Pro Football Focus categorized Lawrence as a Tier 3b quarterback, describing him among
“solid starters, but they need more help.”
Positioned as the league’s 16th-best quarterback, Lawrence’s 2025 campaign will define whether he can elevate himself to elite status within the NFL.
The stakes are undeniably high for Lawrence, given the substantial financial commitment from the Jaguars and the new tools at his disposal. His ability to meet or exceed these expectations will have lasting implications on his career reputation and Jacksonville’s future success.