Phillies designated hitter Kyle Schwarber, a dominant power hitter in Major League Baseball, is positioned as a leading choice for home run bets on June 16. Since joining Philadelphia before the 2022 season, Schwarber has hit 153 home runs over 536 games and consistently ranked among the top three National League home run leaders each year. Entering Monday, Schwarber has already launched 22 home runs this season, second only to Dodgers’ Shohei Ohtani, who has 25. Both players are active this day despite many MLB games being off, with Schwarber favored at +320 odds over Ohtani’s +210 for a home run.
Schwarber is a crucial pick for MLB home run parlays today, especially as he faces the Marlins’ struggling pitcher Sandy Alcantara, who has a 7.14 ERA so far this season. Bettors can leverage promotions such as BetMGM’s offer providing up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if the initial wager fails. MLB home run props are broadly available across sportsbooks, and the SportsLine Projection Model, which runs 10,000 simulations per game, helps identify the best bets based on predictive data.
Data-Driven MLB Home Run Selections Backed by SportsLine Model
The SportsLine model, which has gained a notable advantage with an upward trend of 34.85 units in home run picks over the past 69 days, recently disclosed projections for several popular Monday home run props. It highlights three players with strong chances to deliver home runs on June 16:
- Kyle Schwarber, Phillies (+320)
- Junior Caminero, Rays (+390)
- Jose Altuve, Astros (+500)
A parlay of these picks offers enticing combined odds of +11836 at FanDuel, although these odds may fluctuate.
Why Kyle Schwarber is a Strong Home Run Contender This Monday
A two-time MLB All-Star, Schwarber is enjoying one of the best seasons of his career so far. His .923 OPS is his second-best mark in 11 major league seasons, while his .379 on-base percentage leads his career highs. He is also excelling in contact quality with a 57.6% hard-hit rate, accompanied by a .271 batting average on balls in play (BABIP), indicating stable performance without signs of regression. Historically, Schwarber has had success against Sandy Alcantara, batting .405 on-base in 10-for-35 career plate appearances.
Schwarber is off to a slow start in June after a hot start to the season, but he does have two HRs over his last four games,
SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said.
Alcantara has put together back-to-back strong starts but they came against Colorado and Pittsburgh. Even with those outings, his ERA on the season sits at 7.14. Left-handed batters have an .825 OPS against Alcantara this season.
Both BetMGM and FanDuel are offering Schwarber at +320, though the model sets a slightly lower suggested line at +260.
Rays’ Junior Caminero Showing Promising Power at Home
Twenty-one-year-old Junior Caminero has become a favorite in home run predictions due to his impressive bat speed and power potential. Currently leading the league with an average barrel speed of 77.9 mph, Caminero has hit 17 home runs this season. His ability to refine his swing mechanics is expected to elevate contact quality and lifting of the ball, which often precedes a surge in power hitting.
Caminero is coming off back-to-back games with a HR and that was on the road, where he has struggled mightily this season. Caminero is now back at home where he is hitting .297 with 11 of his 17 HRs,
Fetner highlighted.
With the Home Run Index at a 9 out of 10, he might not need to get all of the ball to hit a HR today.
Among sportsbooks, FanDuel offers the preferred odds on Caminero’s home run bet.
Astros’ Jose Altuve a Viable Long Shot for Monday’s Home Run Props
Jose Altuve enters Monday in the midst of a quieter offensive year, posting a .747 OPS—the lowest since 2013—but remains on track for his seventh 20-home run season. Despite his smaller stature at 5-foot-6, 167 pounds, Altuve has already launched 10 homers in 68 games. The matchup in Sacramento is favorable, with warm temperatures in the 80s and wind blowing out toward left field, conditions that typically benefit right-handed power hitters.
Altuve has raked against JP Sears in his career. He is 9-for-22 (.409) with two HRs and four doubles vs. Sears,
Fetner observed. Altuve also has recorded five multi-hit games in his last eight contests. The projection model recommends a line of +450 for an Altuve home run, while FanDuel offers +480 and DraftKings provides the best overall price. Promo codes at DraftKings might afford bettors further value.
Where to Place Your MLB Home Run Bets on June 16
A range of sportsbooks will feature MLB player prop bets for Monday’s games, each offering promotions to enhance betting value. Caesars Sportsbook has a
“Bet $1, double your winnings next 10 bets”
promotion using the code CBSDYW. BetMGM offers up to $1,500 in bonus bets if the first wager loses under code CBSSPORTS. FanDuel entices new users with a
“Bet $5, Get $200 in bonus bets if your first bet wins.”
DraftKings matches FanDuel’s $5 bet for $200 bonus bets, with additional promo codes providing extra advantages. Fanatics Sportsbook offers “No Sweat Bets” up to $1,000 without requiring a promo code. Lastly, bet365 presents a
“Bet $5, Get $150 in bonus bets win or lose”
deal under CBSBET365.
Expanding Your MLB Home Run Prop Bets Beyond Monday
In addition to Kyle Schwarber, Junior Caminero, and Jose Altuve, SportsLine offers daily projections for a wide range of MLB player prop bets, helping bettors find value in every game. Their data-driven insights and computer simulations provide an edge for those seeking to capitalize on home run chances and other performance bets throughout the season.