Debates surrounding NFL quarterbacks are constant, complex, and passionate. As the position that often receives the most praise for team success and criticism for failures, quarterback performance is heavily scrutinized across all levels of football. While some may overemphasize a quarterback’s role relative to the team, and others downplay it, one thing remains clear: quarterbacks are at the heart of football conversations everywhere.

Given this intense focus, evaluating which quarterbacks truly stand out can be challenging. Instead of merely relying on numerical rankings, it’s helpful to categorize starters into tiers based on their overall impact and skill level—ranging from transcendent talents to replaceable players. An accurate quarterback assessment always considers the quality of the supporting cast, since football is fundamentally a team sport. Even exceptional players like Patrick Mahomes have experienced significant setbacks when their surrounding team falters, such as the Kansas City Chiefs’ recent Super Bowl loss to a dominant rushing team.

Defining Tiers for NFL Quarterbacks Ahead of 2025

As the 2025 NFL season approaches, distinct tiers emerge to classify quarterbacks into groups that range from highly coveted starters to cautious bets and hopeful projects. These tiers aim to separate elite players from those who may struggle, while acknowledging that performances may surprise or disappoint once the season unfolds under real game pressure.

Tier One: Elite Quarterbacks Leading the NFL

The top tier contains quarterbacks who embody the kind of rare talent every NFL franchise dreams of acquiring. These players possess either outstanding physical abilities or a proven ability to perform at championship levels, or both. When paired with even moderate team support, their presence almost guarantees meaningful victories.

Patrick Mahomes represents a unique breed in the league. Despite a recent disappointing Super Bowl LIX performance, the Kansas City Chiefs’ success largely hinges on his ability to generate big plays and maintain consistent production. His evolution to mastering subtle aspects of the game cements his status as an elite quarterback.

Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills serves as the AFC’s dependable second-best quarterback behind Mahomes. Allen’s powerful arm and physical running style allowed him to excel during his NFL MVP season, even as he adapted to a more controlled approach to managing games.

Baltimore Ravens’ Lamar Jackson is another two-time MVP who combines prolific dual-threat capabilities with refined passing precision in recent seasons. His dynamic playstyle keeps defenses off balance and maintains his position among the league’s most feared quarterbacks.

Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals has proven to be an exceptional passer, boasting nearly a 69% career completion rate despite injury interruptions. His calm demeanor and accuracy make him one of the most consistent quarterbacks in the league.

Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles thrives on results rather than aesthetics. His blend of athleticism and clutch decision-making shapes the flying Eagles as one of the toughest offenses to contain.

Meanwhile, Sam Howell of the Washington Commanders quickly established himself as a promising presence behind center during his rookie season. His smooth running skills and accurate arm helped lift an overachieving squad close to a Super Bowl appearance.

Tier Two: Reliable Quarterbacks with Star Potential

Quarterbacks in this second tier are solid starters who may lack the consistent star power required for the very elite, or are transitioning out of that category due to age. These players are typically dependent on their offensive setups but can still deliver strong performances and lead teams deep into the playoffs under the right circumstances.

Matthew Stafford of the Los Angeles Rams, the No. 9-ranked quarterback here, can still make game-changing plays with his rocket arm, although durability has increasingly become a concern late in his career.

Jared Goff, now leading the Detroit Lions, excels when protected by a sturdy offensive line. While not the most creative when the pocket collapses, his refined pocket presence allows him to compete against top defenses effectively.

San Francisco’s Brock Purdy, favored by head coach Kyle Shanahan, remains a crafty and underrated quarterback. Though dealing with injuries and challenges when trailing in games, he keeps defenses guessing with his willingness to extend plays and let loose his strong arm.

Jordan Love of the Green Bay Packers possesses one of the league’s strongest arms. His shoulder health and ability to manage risks remain questions, but if he can maintain consistency, he offers the tools and system needed to succeed.

Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers combines a fast arm with on-field restraint. His challenge is stepping up in critical moments, as illustrated by an 0-2 playoff record. However, his overall skill set remains highly regarded.

Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys represents a strong quarterback who consistently performs well but has yet to produce a breakout postseason run. His ability to maintain health and elevate his team in the playoffs remains under scrutiny.

Baker Mayfield has shown resilience and toughness that have kept his career alive. Since joining the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, he has contributed meaningfully despite some mistakes, with a notable total of 77 passing touchdowns since 2023.

Meanwhile, C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans had an outstanding rookie season but regressed slightly amid injuries to his supporting cast in 2024. His leadership and precision passing suggest he will continue to develop strongly in Year 3.

Tier Three: Young Quarterbacks with High Upside

This tier consists of quarterbacks who have played limited NFL action, including some who have yet to see any snaps. Their raw ability combined with promising team environments puts them in position for significant growth and potential playoff contributions.

Russell Wilson, the veteran quarterback for the Denver Broncos, consistently threw near 30 touchdowns in his first year under Sean Payton, using his mobility effectively as a playmaker. His challenge is to make a stronger leap in managing the offense as the team emphasizes running and defense.

Caleb Williams, the No. 1 pick in the deep 2024 quarterback class, showed flashes of brilliance mixed with erratic moments during an uneven rookie season. With new coach Ben Johnson and the addition of All-Pro guard Joe Thuney reinforcing the offensive line, Williams is positioned as a top contender to be the most promising NFL quarterback prospect for 2025. His powerful arm and improvisational skills will be essential assets if he can mature and temper his decision-making under pressure.

Mick Delaney’s absence in 2024 due to knee surgeries cleared the way for a highly anticipated debut by his successor. The Minnesota Vikings, armed with head coach Kevin O’Connell, star receiver Justin Jefferson, and a versatile defense, offer an environment conducive to a successful rookie campaign.

Mac Jones, now with the New England Patriots, impressed as a rookie despite playing behind a weak supporting cast. With Mike Vrabel and Josh McDaniels at the helm and stronger overall team resources, Jones is expected to make steady improvements.

Tier Four: Inconsistent Yet Dangerous Veterans

This middle tier blends quarterbacks of varying ages and styles who display unpredictable performances. They can produce impressive statistics or suddenly falter, creating uncertainty about their long-term roles as starters.

Ben Roethlisberger, after an underwhelming stint with the New York Jets, joins Mike Tomlin’s Pittsburgh Steelers where his experience will still provide valuable leadership and playmaking ability, though age and durability remain concerns.

Jimmy Garoppolo, now quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders, offers a courageous deep-throwing style but continues to struggle with injuries and turnover issues. His tenure may be short-lived depending on performance.

Trevor Lawrence faces mounting pressure in Jacksonville to justify his high draft status. Surrounded by talented young receivers Brian Thomas Jr. and Travis Hunter, Lawrence must improve his decision-making to maximize his potent arm.

Tua Tagovailoa’s ongoing injury problems have severely limited his playing time with the Miami Dolphins, although he still demonstrates remarkable accuracy. His challenge is consistently improvising under pressure when plays break down.

Kyler Murray of the Arizona Cardinals remains a dynamic and elusive runner but has not yet established consistent success as a passer. His career continues to raise questions about his overall development.

Sam Darnold, in his second year with the Minnesota Vikings, delivered flashes of competence during a pressured 2024 finish. Whether he can reliably lead a team undergoing transition remains open.

Tier Five: A Highly Anticipated Newcomer

This tier highlights the most promising rookie expected to start the 2025 season. Despite sharing first-round draft status with another quarterback, this individual’s readiness to lead makes him the focal point of rookie quarterback discussions heading into the new year.

The Tennessee Titans selected this quarterback first overall, choosing a player known for a strong arm and a fearless, if sometimes risky, playing style. This pick comes after moving on from Will Levis, who shared similar traits but failed to meet expectations. The rookie‘s proven college performance suggests he could make a strong impression in Nashville.

Tier Six: Transitional Starters and Short-Term Solutions

The lowest tier features quarterbacks often seen as temporary solutions, stopgaps, or players on the brink of losing starting jobs. Some may surprise with unexpected growth, but most face modest expectations and limited upside.

Justin Fields, with his athleticism and rushing ability, has yet to find a long-term home after moving among three teams in five years. While physically exciting, struggles with ball security have prevented him from cementing a consistent role.

Geno Smith, formerly of the Seattle Seahawks, has been inconsistent but may still contribute under head coach Brian Daboll with the New York Giants. However, the Giants could look to newcomer Jaxson Dart as a fresher option to lead the offense.

Will Levis, given another chance despite his smaller frame and rocky start, has shown flashes of NFL confidence. The Carolina Panthers continue to support him, hoping improved weapons help him reach his potential.

Kyle Allen, who helped push Kirk Cousins out of the starting job in Atlanta, displayed erratic accuracy during his late 2024 appearances. With a strong young receiving group, his future depends largely on improving timing on deeper throws.

The Cleveland Browns face uncertainty at quarterback with several candidates likely competing for the starting role. Veteran Joe Flacco, appreciated for his experience and knowledge of head coach Kevin Stefanski’s system, is considered the front-runner for now.

Anthony Richardson, despite his imposing physical tools, continues to battle injuries while Daniel Jones competes for starting reps in Florida. Richardson remains a long-term developmental project.

Finally, the New Orleans Saints look toward Trevor Siemian, a second-round pick with an unconventional college path, to stabilize a team in flux. Supported by veterans like Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave, he is expected to shoulder starting responsibilities.

Looking Ahead: Caleb Williams’ Bright Future

Among these tiers, Caleb Williams clearly stands out as a beacon of hope for the franchise relying on him and a key discussion point for 2025’s quarterback prospects. His combination of a powerful arm and creative playmaking ability, enhanced by a stronger coaching staff and an improved offensive line, positions him as the most promising NFL quarterback prospect for the coming season. How well he adapts to the demands of a full NFL campaign will shape not only his legacy but also influence the trajectory of his team’s success.

As the 2025 NFL season unfolds, the performance of established stars, rising talents, and hopeful rookies will continue stirring passionate debate, but the emergence of Williams as a leading prospect ensures fresh excitement and investment in the quarterback position at every level of the league.