Max Fried, the Yankees pitcher who recently signed a record $218 million contract for a left-handed pitcher, is a key figure in Max Fried MLB player prop picks June 20. Although Fried has performed impressively this season with 14 starts allowing 2 or fewer earned runs, his matchup against a strong Baltimore Orioles lineup facing a 16-8 run tilts the angle toward him conceding more than 1.5 earned runs. SportsLine’s model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, forecasts Fried giving up 2.1 earned runs this Friday, an outlook fueled by Baltimore’s improved offense and Fried’s recent pitching statistics.

The Orioles, who began the season unevenly due to injuries to All-Stars Gunnar Henderson and Jordan Westburg, have seen their team OPS rise from .687 through the first 50 games to .735 over the last 24. Fried’s recent starts reflect a 3.60 ERA, having allowed multiple earned runs in three of his last four appearances. Historically, Baltimore has caused Fried issues, as he holds a 4.05 ERA versus the Orioles—the fifth-highest figure among all opponents. These elements combine to make the Over 1.5 earned runs at -150 odds one of Friday’s most promising MLB bets.

Elly De La Cruz Poised to Steal Bases Against St. Louis Pip Andre Pallante

Elly De La Cruz, the Cincinnati Reds’ dynamic baserunner, also enters the spotlight in the MLB player prop picks for June 20. The Reds travel to face the St. Louis Cardinals and their starting pitcher Andre Pallante, who has struggled with a 4.83 ERA this season. More notably, Pallante has been ineffective at controlling the basepaths, as baserunners are a perfect 11 for 11 in stolen base attempts against him—the second-highest stolen base total in the majors without a caught stealing.

De La Cruz, known for his exceptional speed, boasts 123 stolen bases since his debut in 2023, outpacing the second-best player by 22 steals. Given this context, De La Cruz surpassing 0.5 stolen bases at +145 odds stands out as a sharp wager. His ability to capitalize on pitchers vulnerable to base stealing makes this MLB prop particularly valuable on Friday’s slate.

Corbin Carroll’s Total Bases Likely to Exceed 1.5 in Favorable Coors Field Matchup

Corbin Carroll of the Arizona Diamondbacks is another top MLB player prop pick for June 20, expected to surpass 1.5 total bases at -140 odds. Carroll thrives at Coors Field, where the altitude supports higher offensive output, reflected in his impressive 1.036 OPS at the ballpark. His favorable matchup continues against Rockies pitcher Austin Gomber, who has been particularly susceptible to Carroll’s batting.

Gomber has allowed a .462 batting average to Carroll in their meetings (six hits in 13 at-bats), allowing the 2023 NL Rookie of the Year to average one base per at-bat versus the starter. Given Carroll’s likelihood of multiple at-bats against Gomber in Friday’s game, the projection of 2.14 total bases seems well within reach. Supporters of this bet can take advantage of sportsbook bonuses and promo codes to enhance wagering value.

How SportsLine’s Model Shapes These MLB Prop Predictions

The accuracy of these MLB player prop picks, including Max Fried MLB player prop picks June 20, is backed by SportsLine’s data-driven approach. Their proprietary model runs 10,000 simulations for each matchup, enabling predictions that are statistically grounded. Over recent months, the model has maintained an impressive 37-30 record on all top-rated MLB picks and a 21.85-unit gain on home run props alone.

Alongside these predictions, bettors can explore additional player props and matchups to create parlay opportunities with attractive odds, such as the +600 combination involving Fried, De La Cruz, and Carroll’s bets. This data-centric outlook offers bettors a method to approach MLB betting on a busy Friday, with expert insight driving informed decisions at leading sports betting sites.

Additional Expert Picks and Projections for Friday’s MLB Action

Beyond SportsLine’s model projections, several MLB experts provide top picks for Friday’s games. Larry Hartstein has recorded a strong 10-4-2 run over his previous 16 MLB prop selections. His insight offers another layer of advice for those targeting key player wagers on June 20.

Meanwhile, Jacob Fetner and the Inside the Lines team also present strategic picks that align with the day’s betting environment, giving bettors well-rounded options. Matt Severance, a recognized expert with a 165-89 record and significant unit profit over 254 picks, has confirmed his MLB selections for this Friday, further bolstering the range of trusted forecasts available.

For bettors looking to maximize their returns, these combined perspectives from data scientists and seasoned handicappers form a robust foundation to engage with MLB player prop markets confidently on June 20.

Why These MLB Player Props Matter and What to Expect Next

The selections spotlighting Max Fried, Elly De La Cruz, and Corbin Carroll emphasize matchups where recent trends and player strengths align with favorable betting odds. These props provide opportunities to target specific player performance rather than broader team outcomes, allowing bettors to focus on nuanced game aspects.

As the MLB season progresses, monitoring player health, recent performance, and opposing pitching tendencies will remain vital to identifying profitable prop bets. The increasing availability of advanced models and expert analysis equips MLB bettors with tools to navigate complex matchups, making Friday’s Max Fried MLB player prop picks June 20 and similar wagers not only compelling but instructive for those looking to optimize their betting strategies.