The 2025 NBA Finals culminate on Sunday in a decisive Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. With the series intensifying, Myles Turner NBA Finals Game 7 props have become a key focus for bettors looking to capitalize on player performance in this pivotal matchup.
This series has delivered dramatic swings and valuable opportunities in player prop betting, especially for those following standout players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is expected to lead the Thunder in a high-stakes effort. Beyond SGA, Myles Turner’s prop bets—specifically the Over 17.5 combined points and rebounds—offer compelling value as the Thunder seek a Game 7 victory at home.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Projected for a Strong Game 7 Performance
Despite two subpar performances on the road, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s output at home has been commanding throughout the series. He has averaged 45.3 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) over the three games in Oklahoma City, surpassing the 43.5 PRA line set by sportsbooks. His home season average of 45.1 PRA over 33.7 minutes per game reinforces the expectation that he will deliver a dominant performance.
Game 7 is likely to see Gilgeous-Alexander on the floor for at least 40 minutes, similar to three earlier home games where he achieved significant playing time and volume. The model projects him for a 45.7 PRA total in the final game, emphasizing his multifaceted contributions beyond scoring alone.
Game 7 effort and major minutes should deliver his rebounding (5.9 average, 22-10 Over 4.5 when playing 38+ minutes),
said Stephen Oh, Data Scientist behind the SportsLine Projection Model.
The best way the Thunder can counter both Haliburton and T.J. McConnell is for SGA to be super aggressive offensively and we do expect the referees to give MVP ‘free throw merchant’ SGA a friendly whistle in this critical situation.
FanDuel currently offers this Over 43.5 PRA prop at favorable odds, while some sportsbooks have adjusted upward to 44.5. New users on FanDuel can also benefit from a promo code, potentially receiving $200 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager wins.
Why Backing Myles Turner Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds Is Essential
After struggling in Game 6 with only three points and four rebounds despite nine shot attempts in 26 minutes, Myles Turner is poised for a bounce-back performance. Across the first five games of the series, Turner consistently scored around 13 points per game, complementing his postseason average of 4.5 rebounds.
Turner’s best scoring outputs this series have come on his home court, where he averaged 14.6 points and 6.3 rebounds across three games. While his postseason numbers (14.1 points and 4.8 rebounds per game) are slightly below his regular season averages (15.6 points and 6.5 rebounds), the model anticipates Turner will surpass the 17.5 combined points-plus-rebounds threshold in Game 7.
Given the intensity of a winner-take-all matchup, Turner is expected to play extended minutes above his current postseason average of 29.8 minutes, which should increase his scoring and rebounding opportunities. FanDuel offers the best odds on this bet at -108, with other sportsbooks like bet365 presenting slightly less favorable odds but strong sign-up bonuses for new users, including $150 in bonus bets with a qualifying wager.
T.J. McConnell’s Increased Role Fuels Over 4.5 Assists Bet
T.J. McConnell‘s assist numbers have solidified his growing importance in the series, especially after delivering six assists in a Game 6 outing spanning 24 minutes. Pacers point guard Tyrese Haliburton’s calf injury limited his playing time to just 23 minutes, which shifted more ball-handling responsibilities to McConnell.
In the past, when McConnell has played more than 20 minutes, his assist average climbs. During this series, he has maintained an average of 4.5 assists per game despite limited minutes in the majority of contests. The model projects that on Sunday he will see approximately 25 minutes of court time and deliver around 5.1 assists, reflecting his integral role when Haliburton remains at less than full health.
DraftKings Sportsbook offers the top odds at -105 for McConnell’s assist total, with a promo code granting new players $300 in bonus bets if their initial $5 wager wins, making this prop an attractive option for bettors.
Model Insights and Additional NBA Betting Recommendations
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, has established a strong track record by generating significant profits for bettors over six-plus seasons. Stephen Oh, a lead data scientist on the model, analyzed the simulations for this final series, highlighting the Myles Turner NBA Finals Game 7 props and other top bets that offer strong expected outcomes.
In addition to player props, the model provides comprehensive predictions for spreading, totals, and money-line bets on every NBA game. Experts like Matt Severance also offer insights, boasting impressive recent performance streaks and providing clear favorites for Game 7 based on detailed player prop analysis.
This fusion of data science and experienced NBA analysis is guiding bettors toward high-value opportunities in the 2025 Finals, heightening excitement and optimism for the decisive game between the Thunder and Pacers.
What the Game 7 Outcome Could Mean for Betting and Fans
Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals is set to be a dramatic, intense showdown that not only determines the season champion but also offers rich opportunities for basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. Myles Turner’s anticipated strong performance in points and rebounds, combined with Gilgeous-Alexander’s all-around impact and McConnell’s assist potential, make these props central to many wagering strategies.
The significance of this game extends beyond the trophy, as players are expected to seize the moment with elevated hustle and stamina, shaping prop bet outcomes. For bettors, locking in these strategic Myles Turner NBA Finals Game 7 props could mean capitalizing on lines set before the full intensity of the matchup unfolds, particularly with promising promo codes and odds from major sportsbooks.