Christian Yelich, the Milwaukee Brewers outfielder and former National League MVP, is among the top picks for Sunday MLB home run wagers, with current odds of +440 to hit a home run. Following a stretch of dominance from 2017 to 2019 when he earned two batting titles and posted impressive power and speed numbers, Yelich has recently regained formidable form. After a period of inconsistent production post-2020 contract extension, he has returned in 2025 with a strong surge, making him a prime candidate for bettors targeting home run props this Sunday.
Over the past month, Yelich has recorded a 1.122 OPS, hitting seven home runs and driving in 27 RBIs across 24 games. His latest hot streak is even more impressive, going 12-for-22 with 11 RBIs in his last five contests. The odds offered by FanDuel give him a compelling value at +440 to launch his 15th homer of the season, drawing attention from bettors as part of the wider slate of player prop bets available on Sunday across multiple sportsbooks.
Recent Performance and Matchup Favor Yelich’s Power Potential
Yelich’s recent numbers reflect a player hitting his stride, despite a season BABIP below his usual levels. In the last five games, he has accumulated five extra-base hits, including two home runs, and continues to put up solid offensive metrics with a .256 batting average, .336 on-base percentage, and a .443 slugging percentage. His Sunday matchup against Minnesota Twins right-hander David Festa further intensifies betting interest, as Festa has surrendered four home runs in his last three starts, suggesting opportunities for power hitters like Yelich.
“Yelich is hitting .311 on the road with 9 home runs compared to just .189 with 5 home runs at home. He has also hit 13 of his 14 home runs against right-handed pitchers this season,”
SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner said.
“Some books have this line as low as +300, so getting +440 is a strong value. We set Yelich’s line at +350.”
Marcell Ozuna Offers Value with Strong Metrics and Favorable Matchup
Atlanta Braves outfielder Marcell Ozuna carries +550 odds to hit a home run on Sunday. While Ozuna has only recorded two homers in June, his underlying statistics paint the picture of a hitter in form. He ranks in the top 30% among MLB batters on metrics such as expected slugging percentage (.495), average exit velocity (91.3 mph), barrel rate (11.3%), and hard-hit contact rate (49.7%). His bat speed at 73.7 mph further supports his power potential.
Key to Ozuna’s Sunday prospects is his matchup against Miami Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara, a pitcher he has historically performed well against, though without homering. Alcantara has recently shown signs of improvement after a challenging start to the season but surrendered two home runs in his last start, suggesting vulnerability to the long ball.
“Ozuna has had a lot of success against Sandy Alcantara in his career (9-22, .409 BA), but he has yet to hit a homer off of him,”
Fetner noted.
“Alcantara has started to turn things around after a rough start to his season, but he did allow 2 HRs in his last start.”
Nolan Arenado Provides a Solid Home Run Betting Option Against Lefties
St. Louis Cardinals third baseman Nolan Arenado, offered at +470 odds, remains a threat to put the ball over the fence, especially against left-handed pitching. Though his peak years are likely behind him, Arenado is maintaining a productive role with a .307 batting average against lefties in 2025 and an exceptional career OPS of .922 against southpaw pitchers. This Sunday, he faces a lefty–righty matchup that enhances his home run odds considerably.
Arenado’s home field advantage also boosts his chances, with an .813 OPS at home compared to .688 on the road. Ballpark conditions further favor hitters, increasing the likelihood that an extra-base hit could travel over the fence.
“Arenado is 7-15 with two home runs against Abbott in his career, so he has already had a great deal of success against him. The home run index is at a 10 out of 10 in this game, which could turn a long fly ball into a home run,”
Fetner explained.
“Arenado is coming off back-to-back games with a home run. Arenado is also at home, where he has an .813 OPS compared to a .688 OPS on the road.”
Sportsbooks Offering Competitive MLB Player Prop Bets This Sunday
Bettors looking to wager on MLB player props this Sunday have access to a variety of sportsbooks offering enticing bonuses and competitive odds. Caesars Sportsbook provides an option where bettors can double their winnings on their next 10 bets after a $1 wager using the promo code CBSDYW. BetMGM offers up to $1,500 in bonus bets if the first bet loses, coded as CBSSPORTS.
FanDuel rewards new bettors with $200 in bonus bets when a first bet of $5 or more wins, while DraftKings offers a similar $200 bonus bet instantly on a $5 wager. Fanatics Sportsbook, without requiring a promo code, features No Sweat Bets up to $1,000. Bet365 presents a $150 bonus bet upon placing a $5 wager, regardless of win or loss, redeemable via promo code CBSBET365.
Additional MLB Home Run Prop Projections Available
Beyond Yelich, Ozuna, and Arenado, SportsLine’s projection model and data science team produce daily insights for a wide array of MLB player props. Their model simulates every game thousands of times to identify valuable betting opportunities. Recently, this approach has yielded a gain of 22.85 units over the past 75 days on home run picks. Bettors interested in further prop bets can access these detailed projections to inform their wagers on Sunday’s games.