The Thursday MLB schedule features eight games starting at or before 3:45 p.m. ET, coinciding with getaway day and offering an appealing betting slate for fans. Among the standout opportunities in Pete Alonso MLB player props and others, bettors have the chance to back top performers like Ronald Acuna Jr., who enters play riding a 21-game on-base streak, making his runs scored prop highly attractive. This focused schedule allows bettors to zero in on value picks with SportsLine’s advanced model predicting promising outcomes for several MLB player props on Thursday.
Ronald Acuna Jr.’s Scoring Streak Fuels Run-Scored Prop Confidence
Ronald Acuna Jr., the 2023 NL MVP, has demonstrated remarkable consistency by reaching base in 21 consecutive games. During this stretch, he has crossed home plate 25 times, including 13 runs in the last 10 games and seven in the most recent five. His ability to score runs regularly, appearing on the scoreboard in eight games over his last nine, underscores the value in betting on him to score at least one run. The Braves face right-hander Griffin Canning on Thursday, whose recent six starts have yielded a 6.49 ERA, suggesting scoring opportunities will increase.
Pete Alonso Set for Strong Total Bases Against Right-Hander
Mets power hitter Pete Alonso, despite recording his second-lowest home run rate of his career, remains highly effective at the plate with a career-best exit velocity and a surge in extra-base hits. Alonso currently leads the National League in doubles and has achieved a career-high batting average. He is averaging two total bases per game in 2024 and faces a favorable matchup against a right-handed pitcher. Alonso’s slugging percentage against right-handers stands at an impressive .588 compared to just .408 against lefties, making the over 1.5 total bases prop (+120) a compelling bet for bettors looking to capitalize on his hitting prowess.
Xavier Edwards Emerges as a Bright Spot for the Marlins
For the struggling Miami Marlins, Xavier Edwards shines as a reliable offensive contributor, batting .346 in June with a .433 on-base percentage, ranking 10th highest across Major League Baseball. Edwards holds a perfect 3 for 3 record with doubles against Thursday’s starting pitcher for the Giants, Hayden Birdsong, boosting confidence in his performance. His June average of 2.2 combined hits, runs, and RBIs further supports the over 1.5 on this prop at odds of -125. This consistency makes Edwards an appealing pick despite the Marlins’ overall challenges this season.
Model-Driven Insights Guide Winning MLB Player Prop Picks
SportsLine’s proven computer model simulates every game 10,000 times to find MLB player prop bets with the highest value, currently boasting a 41-32 run on top-rated picks. Over the last 79 days, the model is up nearly 20 units on home run prop bets alone. These data-driven insights help bettors identify opportunities like the top Thursday picks, including Ronald Acuna Jr. for over 0.5 runs scored, Pete Alonso for over 1.5 total bases, and Xavier Edwards for over 1.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs. Parlaying these selections offers lucrative +613 odds, enhancing potential returns.
Additional Resources for MLB Betting Enthusiasts
Bettors seeking more player prop predictions for Thursday can access comprehensive projections across all MLB player props through SportsLine’s platform. Alongside the model‘s picks, expert analysts such as Bruce Marshall, who holds a 23-17-1 record with a +834 unit return over 41 MLB picks, and Jacob Fetner provide valuable insights and top betting options for the day. These combined resources offer bettors a robust foundation to approach Thursday’s games with confidence and strategic advantage.
Implications for MLB Fans and Bettors
Thursday’s slate, though limited, presents promising chances for targeted MLB player prop betting, with Pete Alonso’s total bases prop standing out as particularly attractive given his current form and matchup. The ongoing success of Ronald Acuna Jr., combined with Xavier Edwards’s breakout performance, further adds excitement for bettors invested in player performance markets. As analytics and modeling continue to influence MLB betting, these picks exemplify how data-backed strategies can uncover profitable options, shaping the future of sports wagering and enhancing fan engagement.