With the MLB season packed full of offensive fireworks, tonight’s matchups on July 8, 2025, offer excellent opportunities to target homerun bets, especially the Juan Soto MLB home run prop. Soto faces a pitching staff that struggles with long balls, making this an attractive spot for power hitters aiming to break through.
Beyond Soto, several players with strong recent performances and favorable matchups stand out as top selections for home runs. By analyzing key metrics like exit velocity, hard-hit rates, and current form, bettors can identify promising prop bets for this Tuesday’s slate.
Top Home Run Prop Opportunity: Juan Soto’s Advantageous Matchup
Juan Soto looks primed for success against Brandon Young, who currently holds a troubling 7.02 ERA. Soto’s ability to consistently square the ball, highlighted by a .353 batting average with seven homers over his past 15 games, underscores his elite power threat. His extraordinary 56.6% hard-hit rate signals continued dominance at the plate.
Young’s tendency to give up ‘barrels’ frequently adds to the appeal of a big fly in this matchup. At odds of +260 on DraftKings Sportsbook, the Juan Soto MLB home run prop presents a compelling wager with high upside.
Recent Surge Makes Michael Busch a Power Pick
Michael Busch is on a hot streak, having crushed four home runs in three games against the St. Louis Cardinals with an extraordinary .750 batting average and a 2.702 OPS. His season average of .297 with 18 homers further supports confidence in his power.
Tonight, Busch faces pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson, who has seen his 4.41 ERA rise steadily, making Busch’s +370 home run prop an attractive value bet during this strong offensive run.
Brandon Nimmo’s Quiet Power Emerges Against Right-Handed Pitching
Brandon Nimmo, a consistent threat against right-handed pitchers, enters this contest with impressive recent power numbers, slamming three home runs across his last five games and sustaining a .842 slugging percentage. He maintains a .316 batting average and a 1.223 OPS in this stretch, aided by a favorable 23.8% strikeout rate that keeps him in hitter-friendly counts.
Facing Brandon Young, Nimmo’s +285 home run prop stands out as an undervalued opportunity to capitalize on his emerging power.
Austin Riley’s Momentum Builds Against Jeffrey Springs
Austin Riley has shown signs of regaining his power stroke, hitting .333 with a home run in his recent games against the Orioles. His underlying metrics, including a 92.4 mph average exit velocity, a 50.8% hard-hit rate, and 14.7% barrels per plate appearance, align well with the challenges posed by pitcher Jeffrey Springs.
Springs has a tendency to leave pitches high in the strike zone, which suits Riley’s batting approach. At +285 odds, Riley’s chance to add another homer tonight is a strategic play worth consideration.
Randy Arozarena’s Dominant Stretch Fuels Long Ball Confidence
Randy Arozarena has been tearing the cover off the ball lately, belting six home runs over his past seven games with a .346 batting average and a 1.372 OPS. This is one of his hottest power phases during the 2025 season.
Tonight’s matchup against Will Warren, who owns a 5.02 ERA and has struggled to contain right-handed power hitters, further boosts Arozarena’s chances. Playing in Yankee Stadium, with its short left-field porch, makes the +500 home run prop particularly enticing for those seeking a big payoff.
Why These Picks Matter for Tonight’s Power Plays
The combination of recent player form, favorable pitching matchups, and ballpark factors create prime conditions for home runs on July 8. Juan Soto’s matchup against Young and other red-hot batters like Michael Busch and Randy Arozarena could make tonight very rewarding for fans and bettors chasing power numbers.
As DraftKings Sportsbook odds evolve, those who act on these carefully analyzed props may find strong opportunities to capitalize on the MLB’s ongoing surge in offensive fireworks. Watching these hitters closely could prove decisive for big power plays throughout the evening.
Our Reader’s Queries
Q. What is Juan Soto’s bat speed?
A. Ramos and Soto’s bat speeds decreased from over 75 mph to more than 73 mph. This change still places them in the top 75 players. Their bat speed remains significantly higher than the league average of 71.6 mph. Even with this reduction, Soto continues to have excellent bat speed.
Q. Why did Juan Soto get so much?
A. Soto’s impressive contract shows his exceptional skills and the bidding war during free agency that increased his cost.
Q. How much money did the Padres give Juan Soto?
A. This was the second major trade for the 25-year-old Soto in under two years. The three-time All-Star has one more year before becoming a free agent. He is expected to earn about $32 million after hitting .275 with 35 home runs, 109 RBIs, and a .930 OPS in his full season with the Padres.