Saquon Barkley, the Philadelphia Eagles running back and 2024 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, faces a harsh NFL bust prediction for the 2025 season, despite his recent Super Bowl victory and a record-breaking rushing campaign. This speculation comes as the Eagles secured Barkley with a two-year, $41.2 million contract extension, signaling their faith in his continued impact.
National media attention has turned sharply critical, with some analysts warning that Barkley’s prime may be short-lived, despite his current elite status and age of just 28. The Eagles’ investment suggests the team expects Barkley to remain a dominant force through at least the next two seasons.
Analysis of Workload and the ‘Curse of 370’ Touches
Critics point to Barkley’s heavy usage as a key factor in their prediction, highlighting a phenomenon dubbed the ‘Curse of 370.’ In the 2023 season, Barkley recorded an astonishing 378 touches, placing him in a risky category that historically leads to steep declines. Analyst Gary Davenport of Bleacher Report explains that since 2007, only two running backs who exceeded 370 touches managed to improve their total yardage the following year.
However, the expectation is not necessarily that Barkley must surpass his previous year’s yardage to avoid being labeled a bust. While NFC East rivals like the Dallas Cowboys, Washington Commanders, and New York Giants would hope for Barkley to maintain or improve his statistics, the reality could be more nuanced.
Historical Averages Show Significant Drop in Production After 2,000-Yard Season
Among the elite group of running backs who have rushed for over 2,000 yards in a season, average production tends to fall significantly the next year. Statistics show an average decrease of approximately 966 rushing yards—a nearly 50 percent decline. Though injuries likely contribute to this reduction, the trend underscores concerns about Barkley’s ability to sustain peak output long-term.
Still, a dip in rushing yardage will not automatically classify Barkley as a failure. Even with lower rushing numbers, he could remain a top contender for major awards and continue to influence the game effectively.
Barkley’s Versatility Could Defy Bust Predictions
Barkley’s multifaceted skills as a rusher and receiver give him avenues to retain value beyond sheer rushing yards. He remains a strong candidate to repeat as NFL Offensive Player of the Year, a feat unseen in the last 25 years. Barkley’s potential to generate touchdowns, accumulate receiving yards, and contribute to team wins provides a path to sustained relevance despite cautionary predictions.
Sports betting platforms currently list Barkley as a favorite to win the Offensive Player of the Year again, reflecting confidence in his ongoing performance. This versatility poses a significant challenge to the notion that Barkley will quickly fall off after such an exceptional season.
Implications for NFC East and NFL Rivalries
For NFC East teams like the Cowboys, Giants, and Commanders, Barkley’s future form is a critical factor in divisional competition. His ability to maintain elite performance impacts their strategies and playoff hopes. The predicted downfall would be welcomed by rivals, but the reality remains uncertain as Barkley’s contract and recent achievements reinforce his standing.
As 2025 approaches, the NFL and its fans will be watching closely to see if Barkley defies historical trends or succumbs to the pressures of a heavy workload and high expectations.
Our Reader’s Queries
Q. Is Saquon Barkley a millionaire?
A. As of 2025, Saquon Barkley is believed to have a net worth of about $32 million, based on reports from Pro Football Network and Marca. Most of his money comes from high-paying NFL contracts.
Q. Is Saquon Barkley a humble guy?
A. Saquon Barkley’s modest character is getting a lot of positive attention. A person’s attitude reveals who they are and where they come from. It also shows their upbringing, social position, and leadership qualities.