After missing a month due to a hamstring injury, Kodai Senga is scheduled to pitch again on Friday in the MLB. Before his injury, Senga was one of the top-performing pitchers, boasting a 1.47 ERA—the best among those with at least 70 innings pitched this season. However, Friday’s game presents a difficult scenario as he faces the Kansas City Royals, a team that previously hit 11 total hits off him in one game—the most he has ever allowed in his career. This previous performance strongly suggests that the Mets ace could allow over 4.5 hits in Friday’s matchup, a prediction supported by SportsLine’s advanced model offering -135 odds on that MLB prop bet.
Why Over 4.5 Hits Allowed Is a Strong Bet for Senga
Before his hamstring injury, Senga’s last full game saw him surrender six hits against the Colorado Rockies, a team currently struggling with a poor season record. After a brief rehabilitation period, Senga appeared rusty in his minor league comeback, allowing six hits over just 3.2 innings. Now, stepping back into the major leagues, he faces a Royals lineup that has proven very effective against him. Several regular Royals hitters maintain a collective batting average of .625 (10 for 16) against Senga. Given these facts, the prop bet of Senga giving up five or more hits is a value play supported by strong historical and model-based data.
Ketel Marte’s Advantage Against Tyler Anderson
Second baseman Ketel Marte faces pitcher Tyler Anderson on Friday, bringing a history of success at the plate. Although Anderson is a two-time All-Star, Marte has dominated him recently, posting an impressive slash line of .433/.514/.833 across 35 plate appearances. Of Marte’s 13 hits against Anderson, eight have been for extra bases, showcasing his power. With a .977 OPS and a consistent average of 2.7 total bases over his last 19 games, Marte is enjoying the best season of his career and will be participating in this year’s All-Star Game. Bettors have the option to wager on Marte to exceed either 1.5 or 2.5 total bases, with safer odds available for the lower threshold.
George Springer’s Difficult Matchup Against Luis Severino
George Springer has revived his career at age 35, but Friday’s matchup could remain challenging against Oakland Athletics pitcher Luis Severino. Severino has kept Springer to a .097 batting average over 31 at-bats, with Springer striking out 12 times compared to only three hits in those encounters. Despite Springer’s resurgence this season, he has failed to register a hit, run, or RBI in three of his last four games against Severino. However, while Severino poses a problem, the Athletics’ bullpen ranks as the worst in the American League in ERA, suggesting Springer might find some success later in the game. As a result, the recommended wager is for Springer to have fewer than 2.5 combined hits, runs, and RBIs on Friday.
Additional MLB Player Prop Predictions for Friday’s Schedule
Alongside the highlighted bets for Kodai Senga, Ketel Marte, and George Springer, SportsLine provides projections for a wide array of MLB player props across Friday’s games. Their data-driven simulations run 10,000 iterations per game, contributing to a recent 45-38 record on all top-rated MLB picks. The model has posted gains of 37.65 units on home run prop bets alone this season, underlining its reliability for bettors seeking an edge.
SportsLine’s team of data scientists and MLB analysts, including respected experts like Matt Severance and Jacob Fetner, continue to lock in strong recommendations for Friday matchups. Bettors aiming to optimize their wagers can take advantage of sportsbook promotions and bonus codes offered by leading platforms such as Fanatics Sportsbook, bet365, DraftKings, Caesars Sportsbook, and FanDuel, which often accompany these prop bets to enhance value.
Why These MLB Props Matter for Bettors
Selecting well-researched MLB prop bets like Senga’s hits allowed can make a significant difference in betting outcomes, especially given the nuances of matchups and player form. Senga’s return from injury against a Royals team that historically performs well against him illustrates the importance of analyzing past performances and current health. Meanwhile, backing players like Marte and Springer with tailored prop bets based on their recent statistics and pitcher matchups offers bettors the chance to leverage expert insights and data-driven predictions.
Friday’s slate offers multiple opportunities for bettors to engage with prop bets that reflect detailed statistical analyses and real-time player conditions. These selections not only enhance the excitement of watching the games but can also provide a more calculated approach to MLB betting during a season full of unpredictability.