With the MLB All-Star Game behind us, attention is shifting toward the second half of the season and the trade deadline, intensifying discussions around award races. One of the most closely watched contests is the National League Most Valuable Player competition, where the dynamic between Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Dodgers and Chicago Cubs outfielder Pete Crow-Armstrong is drawing significant interest. According to a knowledgeable MLB insider, the current outlook favors Ohtani, though Crow-Armstrong’s challenge remains notable if certain conditions arise.
Current Standings Highlight Shohei Ohtani’s Strong Performance Despite Recent Slumps
Shohei Ohtani is pursuing his third consecutive MVP title and second with the Dodgers after transferring from the Los Angeles Angels. His statistics include 32 home runs, 60 RBIs, and leading all of Major League Baseball with 91 runs scored. However, his batting average has decreased recently, dropping to .265 in June and further falling to .186 in July. This decline lowered his overall season average to .276 alongside a .988 OPS, both figures that are down from his previous season’s output. Additionally, his stolen bases have decreased sharply to 12 this year, compared to 59 last season.
Despite these offensive challenges, Ohtani continues to hold a decisive edge due to his pitching contributions. Returning from Tommy John surgery, he has pitched nine innings this season while allowing only one run. His presence on the mound strengthens his candidacy, making it difficult for rivals like Crow-Armstrong to surpass him in the MVP race if Ohtani maintains this level.
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Rise Fueled by Defense and Balanced Offensive Output
Pete Crow-Armstrong, meanwhile, has posted a .265 batting average with 25 home runs, 71 RBIs, and 27 stolen bases, alongside a .847 OPS. While his offensive numbers trail Ohtani’s, Crow-Armstrong’s defensive excellence sets him apart, significantly boosting his Wins Above Replacement. His central role in the outfield includes multiple standout catches, reflected in top defensive metrics such as 16 Outs Above Average and +13 Defensive Runs Saved.
Should Crow-Armstrong finish the season hitting 40 home runs, driving in 100 runs, and stealing 40 bases while maintaining elite defense, he could close the gap in the MVP competition—especially if Ohtani’s batting woes persist or if he experiences struggles in his pitching appearances.
Factors That Could Influence the MVP Outcome
Another element to consider is voter fatigue, where the electorate might lean toward the fresh impact and all-around contributions of Crow-Armstrong over Ohtani’s anticipated continued dominance. This dynamic adds an element of uncertainty to the race as it progresses into the crucial later stages of the season.
“Ohtani will ultimately have the edge if his return to the mound following Tommy John surgery continues to be successful.”
—Bradford Doolittle, MLB Insider
“Playing elite defense at a premium position along with hitting 40 home runs, driving in 100, and stealing 40 bases could help Crow-Armstrong close the gap if Ohtani’s batting average continues the decline or he has a few poor starts on the mound.”
—Bradford Doolittle, MLB Insider
As the season advances, the Shohei Ohtani MVP race remains a vital storyline, with performance trends and health playing key roles in determining the ultimate victor. Fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see if Crow-Armstrong can capitalize on any potential downturns by Ohtani or if the Dodgers’ star will secure his place with another dominant showing on both offense and the mound.