George Springer is emerging as a key figure in MLB home run picks for July 21, boasting +450 odds to hit a long ball. Despite missing out on the All-Star game, Springer’s strong performance for the Toronto Blue Jays through 2025 has highlighted his value as a significant home run threat. Bettors looking to capitalize on this opportunity should consider adding him to their lineup for Monday’s games.
Springer’s exceptional display since the All-Star break, marked by six hits in twelve at-bats, combined with his current slash line of .279/.369/.503 and 17 home runs this season, reinforces his status as a top choice. According to the latest MLB home run odds from BetMGM, Springer’s +450 price presents an attractive value for those targeting MLB home run props, which are widely available at various sportsbooks. The SportsLine Projection Model’s extensive 10,000-game simulations have also identified Springer among the top picks, reinforcing confidence in his potential to deliver a sizable impact.
George Springer’s Current Form and Statistical Edge
Now in his fifth season with the Toronto Blue Jays, George Springer has exhibited remarkable consistency and power at the plate. The 2017 World Series MVP with Houston has brought his veteran presence and experience to the Blue Jays, driving their offense at a critical time. Advanced metrics indicate Springer is still seeing the ball well, with a 19.9% chase rate placing him in the 92nd percentile among hitters, a 14.7% barrel rate at the 88th percentile, and a 40.4% launch angle sweep score ranking in the 93rd percentile.
At home this season, Springer has a .300 batting average and a .964 OPS compared to a .257 average and .784 OPS on the road,
explained SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner.
We set Springer’s line at +348 to homer.
This underscores why bookmakers like BetMGM and DraftKings offer these enticing odds, with additional incentives such as bonus bets enhancing the appeal for new users.
James Wood Brings Power Potential for Nationals with +475 Odds
James Wood of the Washington Nationals stands out as another player to watch closely for home run props on July 21. Having tallied 24 home runs in the first half of the season, Wood earned his first MLB All-Star selection and participated in the 2025 Home Run Derby, making an impression by blasting a 488-foot homer. Although he was recently hitless for five games, Wood showed signs of a rebound with a single on Sunday, ready to capitalize on a favorable matchup on Monday.
According to the latest analysis, Wood faces pitcher Brady Singer, who has conceded eight of his eleven home runs this season to left-handed hitters like Wood. Singer’s recent struggles, with a .295 batting average allowed and an .851 OPS in his last four starts, create a promising scenario for Wood’s return to power hitting.
Brady Singer has given up eight of his 11 HRs this season to left-handed batters. Singer has also been hit hard over the last month, allowing opponents to hit .295 with an .851 in his last four starts,
said Fetner.
We set Wood’s line at +315 and like the buy low spot here.
This pricing at BetMGM offers compelling value for bettors focused on MLB home run props.
Brandon Lowe’s Matchup Against White Sox Adds to Home Run Predictions
Brandon Lowe, playing for the Tampa Bay Rays, is another player projecting as a strong contender for Monday’s home run props, listed at +400 odds. Facing right-handed pitcher Sean Burke and the Chicago White Sox, Lowe’s track record against right-handed pitching bolsters his prospects. Out of 19 home runs this season, Lowe has hit 16 off righties, while Burke has allowed a .269 average against left-handed batters.
The environmental conditions in Tampa are also favorable for power hitters, with warm temperatures and a breeze blowing toward right field in a ballpark known for being hitter-friendly. Such factors suggest an increased likelihood of home runs during this game.
We don’t have a ton of value here, but the line itself on BetMGM offers great value compared to other books. Lowe’s consensus line is +312 to hit a HR,
Fetner noted.
We set Lowe’s line at +398 to homer today.
This makes Lowe an attractive inclusion in home run parlays, especially when combined with other favorable picks.
Top MLB Player Prop Betting Options for July 21
Several sportsbooks are providing lucrative bets and promotions for July 21’s MLB action, making it easier for bettors to engage confidently in player prop markets. BetMGM leads with a bonus offer of up to $1,500 in bonus bets if a user’s first wager loses, springboarding an appealing proposition for new bettors.
Other notable sportsbooks offering compelling incentives include FanDuel, offering $150 in bonus bets when bettors place and win a $5 wager, and DraftKings, which provides an instant $150 in bonus bets with qualifying deposits. Fanatics and bet365 also feature No Sweat Bets promotions and bonus bets regardless of win or loss, respectively, enhancing the diversity of betting options and promotions on the market.
Additional MLB Home Run Prop Picks and Resources
Beyond the highlighted players, the SportsLine Projection Model provides full coverage of MLB player prop picks daily, helping bettors uncover premium value in home run markets. The model, backed by a team of data scientists, has shown profitability this season by correctly projecting several high-paying parlays and identifying undervalued players primed for big performances. SportsLine’s detailed projections offer a valuable toolkit for bettors aiming to maximize returns on their MLB home run picks.
Our Reader’s Queries
Q. Does George Springer have a disability?
A. Springer has a stutter. He mentioned that he only started to accept himself and find new ways to speak better after joining the major leagues.
Q. Does George Springer have a speech impediment?
A. George Springer used his strong will and love for baseball to boost his confidence after dealing with a stutter. Today, he helps others through an organization called SAY: The Stuttering Association for the Young.