Aaron Judge, widely recognized for his stellar 2025 season, appears set to extend his outstanding performance on July 23 as he faces the Toronto Blue Jays. Currently leading major league baseball with a .346 batting average and an OPS of 1.168, Judge is also tied for second in home runs with 36, ranks second in runs scored with 89, and holds third place in RBI with 82. Notably, he leads MLB in total bases with 264. The SportsLine model favors his odds to go over 1.5 total bases (+100) in this matchup, predicting a strong performance by the seven-time All-Star.
Judge has averaged 2.6 total bases per game so far this season and enters this contest having faced Blue Jays pitcher Chris Bassitt 18 times in his career. Judge has managed five hits against Bassitt, including a memorable home run earlier this season. The model’s projection estimates Judge will achieve 2.5 total bases in the Wednesday game, bolstered by his recent success hitting over total bases in 11 of his last 17 games against teams boasting winning records.
Midweek MLB Schedule Brings Wide Variety of Player Props
The July 23 MLB slate features 15 games, starting at 12:05 p.m. ET and extending until the last pitch at 8:05 p.m. ET. This extensive schedule offers bettors a wealth of opportunities to explore MLB player props across multiple platforms. SportsLine’s advanced computer model simulates every game 10,000 times, producing data-driven insights that can help bettors pinpoint valuable prop bets. With sportsbooks offering props on virtually every player in every game, this presents ideal conditions for applying data analysis to betting strategies. Moreover, online sports betting users can maximize value by taking advantage of promotional offers like new-user bonuses at Fanatics Sportsbook and DraftKings.
Currently, the model is on a 46-43 run for its top MLB picks this season and has accrued over 50 units in profit specifically on home run prop bets, underscoring its accuracy and reliability.
Jose Ramirez Expected to Excel Against Orioles
Jose Ramirez of the Cleveland Guardians is another key player to watch for prop bets on July 23. The 32-year-old slugger decided to skip the 2025 MLB All-Star Game to preserve energy for the season’s second half, a choice that has paid dividends. Since the break, Ramirez has launched three home runs and five extra-base hits in five games, consistently exceeding 1.5 total bases in four of those contests. He is averaging an impressive 3.4 total bases per game during this span.
On Wednesday, the Guardians face the Baltimore Orioles, who will start right-hander Zach Eflin, making his first appearance since June 28 after recovering from a back injury. Eflin’s last outing was rocky, surrendering four runs in just one inning against the Tampa Bay Rays. Left-handed hitters have found success against him this season, batting .347 with a 1.082 OPS, which bodes well for Ramirez, who bats from both sides of the plate. Ramirez’s over 1.5 total bases at -110 odds appears like a strong wager in this matchup.
Brandon Pfaadt’s Struggles Suggest Under Is a Smart Bet
Diamondbacks pitcher Brandon Pfaadt faces a challenging game against the Houston Astros, and the player props point to him registering fewer than 17.5 outs recorded (+126) on July 23. Although Pfaadt has exceeded this total in his last three starts, it followed a streak of seven consecutive games where he fell short. Interestingly, in four of his last five starts when Arizona entered favored, Pfaadt recorded fewer outs than expected.
The Astros come into this game riding a three-game winning streak, averaging 6.7 runs per contest, which may test Pfaadt’s stamina on the mound. Career statistics show he usually pitches fewer than 5 1/2 innings per start, averaging around 16 outs recorded, so an under bet aligns well with his historical performances and recent trends.
Additional Player Prop Picks and Expert Insights for the July 23 Games
The SportsLine model and data scientists also recommend a parlay combining these player props for a substantial payout of +759 odds, providing bettors a high-risk, high-reward option. Additionally, expert analysts like Jacob Fetner and Bruce Marshall lend further expertise to Wednesday’s bets. Bruce Marshall, boasting a 57-49-1 record and plus 1334 units over his last 107 MLB picks, has his own set of top recommendations aligned with the model’s projections.
Implications for Bettors and Upcoming Matchups
This midweek slate offers promising opportunities for bettors who rely on in-depth statistical modeling and player performance trends. Aaron Judge’s impressive season and specific matchup advantages illustrate why betting over 1.5 total bases could be a winning play. Similarly, Jose Ramirez’s post-All-Star momentum and Brandon Pfaadt’s recent struggles provide critical context for making informed bets.
As the baseball season moves forward, keeping an eye on such player props, supported by data-driven forecasts and expert analysis, can give bettors a decisive edge. The outcomes of these bets may also signal shifts in player performance trends and influence future wagering strategies on MLB games.
Our Reader’s Queries
Q. Why is Aaron Judge so special?
A. Aaron Judge is famous for hitting home runs. He is one of only five players ever to achieve three seasons with 50 home runs.
Q. How old was Aaron Judge adopted?
A. Aaron Judge was adopted by a pair of teachers from California just one day after he was born in 1992. When he was about 10 years old, he figured out he was adopted because he looked different from his parents.
Q. Is Aaron Judge biological?
A. Patty and Wayne adopted Aaron just a day after he was born in Sacramento, California. Since his adoption was closed, Aaron has never met his biological parents, and no one knows who they are.
Q. Does Aaron Judge have a good arm?
A. “This is incredibly impressive.” Aaron Judge’s throwing ability is astounding. The combination of power and precision makes it one of the best ever.