Despite being in his 15th Major League Baseball season at age 35, Jose Altuve remains a formidable hitter with 17 home runs and an impressive .806 OPS through 98 games this year. Scheduling a matchup against Luis Severino, a pitcher he has repeatedly challenged in his career, Altuve stands out among the top Jose Altuve home run picks for Thursday, July 24, when the Houston Astros face the Oakland Athletics.
Severino, who currently holds a 3-11 record with a 5.10 ERA, is expected to start for the Athletics, while Altuve’s experience and past success against him highlight this opportunity. Altuve’s consistent performance and historical edge over Severino make this matchup a strong candidate for bettors seeking value with his +675 odds on BetMGM for a home run.
Power Hitters with Promising Odds for Thursday’s Games
Alongside Altuve, two other players have caught attention as top MLB home run picks for July 24. Tyler Soderstrom of the Oakland Athletics and Fernando Tatis Jr. of the San Diego Padres offer compelling value based on recent performance and matchup analysis. The three combined create a parlay with enticing +27751 odds at BetMGM, though odds are subject to change as the games approach.
- Tyler Soderstrom, Athletics (+475)
- Fernando Tatis Jr., Padres (+525)
- Jose Altuve, Astros (+675)
Tyler Soderstrom: Rising Power Threat for the Athletics
Tyler Soderstrom is showing significant power this season, already matching his previous two-season home run total with 18 homers through 103 games. His ability to pull the ball against right-handed pitching is especially notable, as 17 of his 18 home runs this season have come off righties. Despite the Athletics’ challenging stadium conditions, Soderstrom has managed to hit 10 of these long balls away from Sacramento, demonstrating his versatility on the road where the Athletics will play Houston on Thursday.
Soderstrom is usually a solid play against right-handed pitchers according to the model, and that’s the case again today,
said SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner.
He’s hit 17 of his 18 home runs this season off righties. He faced Jason Alexander (the pitcher, not George Costanza) about a month ago and, while he didn’t record a hit, he put the ball in play all three at-bats—including a 110 mph exit velocity in his final plate appearance.
Soderstrom’s +475 home run odds at bet365 represent a strong opportunity for bettors, further supported by a bonus offering $150 in bets on a $5 wager, no matter the outcome.
Fernando Tatis Jr. Looks to End Power Drought in Key Matchup
Although Fernando Tatis Jr. has experienced a lull in home runs, going 10 games without homering and only hitting one in his last 24 games, his 16 home runs on the season indicate his power remains intact. Tatis Jr. has a history of big power numbers, with more than 20 home runs in four of five seasons, including a standout 42 homers in 2021. Coming off his third All-Star Game selection this year, Tatis is set to face Sonny Gray, a pitcher whose recent struggles suggest this may be an opportune moment for a rebound.
Despite the drought, he still has 16 home runs on the season, so the power is there,
Fetner noted.
Gray gave up eight earned runs in just 3 1/3 innings in his last start, and right-handed bats have a .276 average and .771 OPS against him this season. This could be a great spot for Tatis to break out.
Betting on Tatis Jr. to hit a home run is enhanced by FanDuel’s promotion, offering $150 in bonus bets if a first wager wins.
Jose Altuve’s Advantage Against Luis Severino
Jose Altuve’s extensive history against Luis Severino gives him a clear advantage. With more career at-bats against Severino than any other player facing him on Thursday, Altuve holds a .302 batting average (13-for-43) with at least one home run in these encounters. Additionally, he has never walked against Severino, signaling an aggressive engagement between the two. Altuve is also on a productive streak, entering Thursday’s game with a four-game hitting streak and four multi-hit games in his last seven.
Altuve has also been much better at home this season, hitting .316 with 10 home runs in 51 home games,
Fetner said.
The +675 line on BetMGM is excellent value, especially considering other books have him closer to +475. We set Altuve’s line at +550 to homer today.
This value is further supported by BetMGM’s promo, providing new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their initial wagers lose.
Where to Place Your MLB Home Run Prop Bets on Thursday
Several sportsbooks will offer MLB home run prop bets for the games on Thursday, providing diverse options and promotional offers for new bettors. Notable sites include BetMGM, FanDuel, bet365, Caesars, DraftKings, Fanatics, and CBSSports, each with unique bonuses ranging from risk-free bets to bonus bet credits.
Among these, BetMGM leads with a welcome offer of up to $1,500 in bonus bets for first-time users, while bet365 provides $150 in bonus bets on a $5 wager regardless of outcome. FanDuel and DraftKings also offer $150 in bonus bets for initial stakes, with no promo codes required, catering to new sports bettors looking to maximize their first wagers.
Additional Projections and Value Picks for Thursday’s Games
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, continues to provide valuable insights and betting guidance for player props. Demonstrating a strong track record with a gain of 49.7 units on MLB home run picks this season, the model has shown consistent ability to predict high-payout parlays and individual successes, making it a reliable tool for analyzing Thursday’s matchups.
The model and data science team offer daily MLB prop picks, including home run predictions for all games, allowing bettors to explore a wide range of player prop options beyond Altuve, Soderstrom, and Tatis Jr., enhancing opportunities to capitalize on underdog or favorable odds throughout the day.
Our Reader’s Queries
Q. Did Jose Altuve apologize?
A. Craig Biggio spent 20 seasons with the Houston team and only got injured once. Because of this, his records might take José Altuve many more years to match. Biggio stopped playing when he was 41 years old. Altuve has a contract until the 2029 season, which will keep him in the game until he turns 39.