Alex Bregman is a leading choice in MLB home run betting for July 29, despite being priced at +450 in recent odds. The Boston Red Sox third baseman has been delivering strong performances this season, making him a standout option among MLB home run picks. Bregman’s recent form and contract investment highlight why bettors are closely watching him in Tuesday’s game against the Minnesota Twins.
Bregman’s Consistent Power Drive Fuels Red Sox Prospects
After signing a lucrative three-year, $120 million deal with the Red Sox during the offseason, Alex Bregman has largely lived up to expectations outside of a brief injury hiatus caused by a quad issue. Across 63 games this year, Bregman is slashing .300/.374/.554 with 14 home runs and 44 RBIs. Notably, he has homered in each of his last two games before their Tuesday face-off with Minnesota.
His timely hitting streak includes recording hits in 10 of his last 12 games. There’s also optimism about multiple-hit potential, as Bregman carries +225 odds to deliver two or more hits on the upcoming game day.
Bregman has nine HRs in just 31 road games this season, and he has 12 of his 14 HRs on the season against right-handed pitchers,
said SportsLine data analyst Jacob Fetner.
We set Bregman’s line to homer at +350.
This aligns with his strong recent stats, making him a prime candidate for those seeking value in MLB home run props.
Ketel Marte Remains a Focus in Diamondbacks’ Lineup
Meanwhile, Ketel Marte of the Arizona Diamondbacks is drawing attention for his home run potential at +450 odds. Despite the team‘s apparent sell-off mode, Marte remains committed through 2030, ensuring his steady presence in the lineup. His transformation from a light-hitting utility role in Seattle to a prominent switch-hitter with a 1.021 OPS has made him a consistent pick for MLB home run bets this season.
Marte has hit 15 of his 20 home runs against right-handed pitchers and has demonstrated considerable power on the road, with 11 homers in 39 road games. His upcoming opponent, Casey Mize, has struggled in recent starts, offering Marte an edge to capitalize.
Marte has a 1.021 OPS and 15 of his 20 HRs against right-handed pitchers. He’s also raking on the road, where he has 11 HRs in just 39 games,
Fetner noted.
Casey Mize is coming off back-to-back rough starts. He has allowed 10 earned runs over seven innings in his last two starts.
These factors contribute to Marte’s positive outlook as a top home run pick for Tuesday.
Matt Wallner’s Advantage Against Right-Handed Pitching
Matt Wallner of the Minnesota Twins also features prominently in MLB home run projections, with odds set at +425. Historically, the left-handed hitter has excelled when facing right-handed pitchers, accounting for 35 of his 41 career home runs in such matchups, with a career OPS of .891 against them compared to .591 against lefties. Wallner will be up against Lucas Giolito, who has recently yielded multiple home runs.
Wallner has shown solid form this July, slugging five home runs in 21 games, reinforcing his potential to impact Tuesday’s contest.
Giolito has allowed five HRs over his last two starts, including four in his most recent start,
Fetner explained.
Wallner is having a decent July with five HRs in 21 games, and we set his line at +368 to hit a HR today.
DraftKings offers the best odds on Wallner, presenting an attractive proposition for bettors.
Top MLB Home Run Picks for July 29
Based on the latest projections and player performance trends, these are among the strongest MLB home run picks for Tuesday’s schedule:
- Alex Bregman, Boston Red Sox (+450) – Riding a hot streak post-injury with notable power against right-handed pitchers.
- Ketel Marte, Arizona Diamondbacks (+450) – Solid switch-hitting stats and favorable matchups against struggling pitching.
- Matt Wallner, Minnesota Twins (+425) – Demonstrated success versus righties, coupled with opponent’s recent home run issues.
For bettors wanting to maximize returns, parlaying these selections offers odds around +14269 on platforms such as bet365, though these are subject to change.
Where to Place Your MLB Home Run Bets on Tuesday
Several sportsbooks provide comprehensive MLB home run prop bets for the July 29 slate, offering various promotions to enhance betting value. Notable sites include:
- Caesars: Special promo doubling winnings over the next ten bets when betting $1.
- BetMGM: Up to $1,500 in bonus bets if the first wager loses, featuring competitive odds on many home run props.
- FanDuel: $150 in bonus bets available when the first $5 wager wins, supported by a strong betting interface.
- DraftKings: Instant $150 bonus bets after first $5 wager, with some of the best pricing on players like Matt Wallner.
- Fanatics: No Sweat Bets promotion up to $1,000 available for new users.
- bet365: Offers $150 in bonus bets regardless of wager outcome.
These sportsbooks provide diverse opportunities for bettors targeting MLB home run props during Tuesday’s games, combining solid odds and generous promotional offers.
Expanding Your MLB Player Prop Insights for July 29
Beyond these standout home run picks, the SportsLine Projection Model and its data science team offer projections covering a wide array of player prop bets for every game on Tuesday. Their model simulates each MLB contest 10,000 times, delivering data-driven insights that have produced notable betting successes this season, including multiple high-return parlays. For fans seeking an edge in their MLB prop betting, these projections offer a detailed resource to identify value plays across the board.