Tuesday offers an exciting slate of MLB games with promising opportunities for bettors focusing on the Rafael Devers Home Run Prop. Fans can look forward to several matchups, including a doubleheader starting with the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays earlier in the day. This provides a strong backdrop for wagering on home runs, a market known for its high-risk but potentially rewarding payouts.
Among the standout picks for Tuesday are Detroit Tigers’ Riley Greene, Washington Nationals’ James Wood, and San Francisco Giants’ Rafael Devers, all priced attractively on DraftKings Sportsbook. These players have shown power potential, and their matchups suggest they could find the scoreboard with a long ball.
Riley Greene Primed to Rebound with a Home Run
Detroit Tigers outfielder Riley Greene has experienced a tough stretch, batting just .176 over his last 22 games, but he has still managed to hit six home runs during that period. This season, Greene has tallied 25 home runs while maintaining a .271 average, indicating consistent power even amid recent hitting struggles.
Tuesday’s matchup sees the Tigers facing right-handed pitcher Brandon Pfaadt of the Arizona Diamondbacks, who holds a 4.76 ERA and has surrendered 17 home runs in 21 starts. Although Pfaadt has improved somewhat in July, allowing only one homer in four outings, his overall expected ERA remains poor.
Greene’s exceptional performance against right-handers, hitting .297 with 23 of his home runs off such pitching and carrying a .938 OPS, sets the stage for a likely breakout, making him a strong candidate to deliver a home run in this game at +340 odds.
James Wood Offers Value in a Favorable Hitting Situation
Washington Nationals’ All-Star James Wood has struggled lately, hitting a mere .114 across his last nine games following the All-Star break. These challenges have pushed his home run prop odds to +400, reflecting bettors’ reduced confidence.
However, Wood faces Houston Astros’ right-hander Jason Alexander, who carries a concerning 8.14 ERA and has allowed four home runs in seven appearances this season. This matchup presents Wood with an opportunity to reverse his slump against one of Houston’s least effective pitchers.
Wood has performed well against right-handed pitching this season, posting an .866 OPS and hitting 15 of his 24 total home runs against such pitchers. His odds value of +400 is notable, especially since Wood’s typical home run prop odds are lower before his slump, indicating potential upside for bettors willing to take a chance.
Rafael Devers Looks to Extend Hot Streak Against Struggling Lefty
San Francisco Giants star Rafael Devers has been heating up since the All-Star break, boasting a .293 batting average with two home runs in the past week entering Tuesday’s contest. Devers faces Pittsburgh Pirates lefty Bailey Falter, a pitcher who has struggled significantly this month.
Though Devers is up against a left-handed pitcher, he has performed well against southpaws this season with a .267/.349/.452 slash line including six home runs. Falter’s struggles are clear—he has allowed seven home runs in just four starts this month and 16 total on the year.
Falter’s low ground-ball percentage, ranking in the 21st percentile, suggests hitters will see many flying balls, providing an excellent chance for Devers to elevate one into the stands. At +370 odds, this prop bet represents a compelling opportunity to back a powerful hitter against a vulnerable pitcher.
Why Home Run Props Remain Popular and What to Expect Next
Home run prop bets are notoriously difficult to predict due to the variability of power hitting and pitching matchups. However, they remain popular because they offer favorable payouts and a single successful bet can secure a winning day for bettors. Tuesday’s slate provides multiple chances to capitalize, especially with carefully chosen players like Greene, Wood, and Devers.
As the day progresses, odds will update based on in-game developments and betting volume, so staying informed is key. These selections target hitters with favorable statistics and opponents who have demonstrated struggles against the long ball, aligning with a hopeful and optimistic betting approach.
For bettors looking to engage responsibly, resources are available to support those affected by gambling problems.