On July 30, 2025, second seed Taylor Fritz is set to open his campaign at the Canadian Open with a second-round match against Roberto Carballés Baena at Sobeys Stadium in Toronto, Canada. This ATP Masters 1000 event, played on hard courts, offers a total prize money of $9,193,540 and will be broadcast live on TSN in Canada, Tennis Channel in the USA, and Sky Sports in the UK.

Overview of Recent Form and Tournament Context

Taylor Fritz, the American No.1, started the 2025 season impressively by delivering straight-set victories with bagel sets against Jenson Brooksby and Cristian Garin at the Australian Open. However, his run ended in the third round following a closely fought loss to Gael Monfils. Despite being the top seed in subsequent tournaments, Fritz experienced early exits with second-round defeats to Denis Shapovalov in Dallas and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in Delray Beach.

During the notable Sunshine Double tournaments, Fritz lost to eventual champions Jack Draper in the Indian Wells Masters and Jakub Mensik at the Miami Open semifinals. He recently returned to hard courts at the Citi Open in Washington, advancing to the quarterfinals but falling to Davidovich Fokina in a three-set match.

Roberto Carballés Baena has delivered surprising performances this season, starting strongly at the ASB Classic and reaching the quarterfinals by upsetting Francisco Cerundolo. He continued this momentum into the Australian Open by defeating Alejandro Tabilo and James Duckworth, marking his best showing in a hard-court Grand Slam. Despite a series of five consecutive first-round losses that followed, Carballés ended the streak at the Miami Open. Currently, the Spaniard is moving through the Canadian Open after a first-round win due to Camilo Ugo Carabelli’s mid-match retirement.

First Meeting Between Fritz and Carballés Baena

This match will be their first encounter on the professional circuit, leaving the head-to-head record evenly poised at 0-0. Both players will be eager to establish dominance early in their rivalry during this pivotal tournament phase.

Match Odds and Expected Outcome

According to BetMGM odds, Taylor Fritz is the clear favorite to advance, supported by a higher ranking, a stronger overall win record, and superior service statistics. Considering his current form and experience in this tournament, Fritz is anticipated to progress to the third round of the Canadian Open for the fourth consecutive year without major complications.

Prediction: Taylor Fritz is expected to secure victory in straight sets against Roberto Carballés Baena.