The latest prediction from Polymarket Sports, recognized as the world’s most accurate forecasting company, indicates that the Edmonton Oilers have only a 37% chance of securing a Connor McDavid Oilers contract extension by September 1st. As the deadline draws near, the suspense surrounding McDavid’s future in Edmonton is intensifying.
With just over a month remaining until the deadline, the probability of McDavid committing long term remains relatively low, highlighting the uncertainty facing the franchise amid looming unrestricted free agency after the 2025-26 season.
General Manager Offers Patience on McDavid’s Contract Decision
Oilers General Manager Stan Bowman has expressed a calm stance regarding McDavid’s contract situation. During an interview with Bob Stauffer on CHED 880 Edmonton, Bowman acknowledged that the team is allowing McDavid to control the timing of his next move without pressure.
McDavid has been eligible to sign a new deal since July 1 and is currently in the final year of his eight-year, $100 million contract. Bowman’s approach reflects confidence in the captain’s judgment and respects his decision to take time in assessing his future with the team.
McDavid’s Impressive Performance and Priorities Amid Extension Talks
At 28 years old, Connor McDavid continues to demonstrate elite performance on the ice. He shared the playoff scoring lead with teammate Leon Draisaitl, collecting 33 points in 22 postseason games. Additionally, McDavid reached the 100-point mark during the regular season for the eighth time in his career.
Despite this individual success, the Oilers fell short of their ultimate goal, losing in the Stanley Cup Final to the Florida Panthers for the second consecutive year. When asked about his primary focus entering contract discussions, McDavid did not hesitate to answer: “Winning.” —Connor McDavid, Oilers captain
Significance of the Extension Decision for Oilers’ Future
The possibility of Connor McDavid signing an extension holds considerable weight for the Oilers’ prospects. As the cornerstone of the franchise and one of the NHL’s top players, his commitment would influence the team’s planning and competitiveness in the coming seasons.
With the September 1 deadline looming, the decision will likely signal the direction Edmonton takes as they aim to build a team capable of ending their recent playoff heartbreaks and competing for the Stanley Cup again.