On July 30, 2025, Madison Keys, seeded sixth, will face Laura Siegemund in the second round of the National Bank Open at IGA Stadium in Montreal, Canada. This WTA 1000 event is played on hard courts and offers a prize pool of $5,152,599.
Background and Current Form of the Competitors
Madison Keys has had a strong 2025 season, beginning with her first Grand Slam victory at the Australian Open in January. She also reached the French Open quarterfinals, where she was defeated by eventual champion Coco Gauff, and made it to the semifinals of the HSBC Championship. Despite consistent deep runs in tournaments, Keys has not claimed another title since her Australian Open win.
Laura Siegemund, meanwhile, qualified for the National Bank Open and advanced past the first round by defeating fellow German Tatjana Maria in three sets. This year, Siegemund was eliminated in the third round of the Australian Open, the first round of the French Open, and the quarterfinals of Wimbledon. While her recent results show solid competitiveness, Siegemund faces a challenging opponent in Keys.
Head-to-Head Record Between Keys and Siegemund
The pair have met three times previously, with Siegemund holding a 2-1 advantage. The most recent encounter took place at Wimbledon this year, where Siegemund secured the win, giving her a slight edge heading into this match.
Expected Outcome of the Match
Keys arrives as the favorite due to her powerful groundstrokes and overall form this season, despite being 30 years old. Siegemund, at 37, may struggle with mobility but possesses a strong serve that could earn her quick points. Although Siegemund could potentially take a set, Keys is expected to leverage her strength and consistency to prevail in a competitive three-set match.
“Pick: Keys to win in three sets.” — Match Analyst
Significance and What to Watch For
This match is crucial for Keys to build momentum and reaffirm her status among the top contenders this season. A victory would continue her streak of deep tournament runs and solidify her confidence following her Grand Slam breakthrough. For Siegemund, the contest offers a chance to challenge a higher-ranked opponent and potentially upset the established favorite, although the odds favor Keys at this stage.