The 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix is scheduled for Sunday at the Hungaroring, a 14-turn, 2.722-mile track just outside Budapest. This race is the 14th round in a 24-race Formula 1 season, where Oscar Piastri is currently the favorite according to 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix predictions, reflecting his dominant form this year.
Current Season Standings and Leading Contenders
McLaren has bolstered their season momentum with another 1-2 finish at last week’s Belgian Grand Prix, where Oscar Piastri and teammate Lando Norris continued to assert their dominance. Together, they hold an imposing 268-point lead in the constructors‘ championship, signaling a fierce rivalry between the two drivers for the world title. Meanwhile, Red Bull’s Max Verstappen trails by 81 points after failing to secure a podium for the third consecutive race, casting doubt on his bid for a fifth straight championship.
Oscar Piastri enters the Hungarian Grand Prix as the top betting favorite at +145 odds, closely followed by Lando Norris at +175. The race start is set for 9 a.m. ET, and bettors are advised to consult updated expert predictions and betting strategies ahead of the event.
Proven Predictive Model Behind the Forecasts
The forecasts for this Grand Prix are backed by a specialized Formula 1 prediction model developed by SportsLine data engineer Mike McClure. This model runs simulations of each race 10,000 times, incorporating variables such as track history and recent performances to generate accurate projections. The system has a strong track record in motorsports, accurately predicting 26 NASCAR winners since 2021 and many winners across multiple racing formats.
In Formula 1, the model has proven especially accurate. It predicted 10 wins across the 2021 and 2022 seasons and fully anticipated Max Verstappen’s dominance by calling every victory he achieved in the 2023 season and through his initial wins in 2024. The model has also forecasted Lando Norris’s victories at several Grands Prix in 2024 and 2025, as well as Piastri’s wins in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia this season. Since 2023, it has correctly identified 34 of the last 57 race winners, offering bettors a reliable edge.
Unexpected Contender: Rookie Isack Hadjar Eyes Top 10
A notable highlight from the latest 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix forecasts is the strong showing predicted for Racing Bulls rookie Isack Hadjar. The 20-year-old French driver, with five points finishes already this season—including a sixth place in Monaco and seventh in Spain—is tipped by the model to secure a surprise top 10 finish at Hungaroring with +130 odds. Despite a last-place finish in Belgium, Hadjar did score a point in the Belgian Sprint Race, suggesting his competitiveness remains intact.
Currently, Hadjar sits 11th in the Formula 1 standings and is within striking distance of Esteban Ocon, who is just five points ahead. Notably, Hadjar finished on the podium in Hungary last year competing in Formula 2, which adds credence to expectations that he will perform well on this circuit during his rookie F1 season.
Guidance for Making Informed Race Predictions
The predictive model not only identifies likely winners but also recommends potential dark horses who could climb dramatically on the leaderboard. It offers bettors a chance to target value picks with longer odds that might deliver substantial returns. Fans are encouraged to explore the full model’s insights to prepare their 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix picks with greater confidence.
Understanding who will win the Hungarian Grand Prix and which underdog may shake up the standings is critical for bettors and fans alike. The SportsLine platform provides the latest F1 odds and projected leaderboard based on the model’s extensive data analysis, offering a roadmap for race day betting.
Key Favorites and Betting Odds for the Hungarian Grand Prix
The odds for the race highlight the leading contenders and notable challengers, with fluctuating chances throughout the field. According to current listings via FanDuel, the favorites and their odds are:
Oscar Piastri +145
Lando Norris +175
Max Verstappen +500
Charles Leclerc +850
Lewis Hamilton +1800
George Russell +1800
Kimi Antonelli +5000
Fernando Alonso +20000
Alex Albon +32000
Carlos Sainz Jr. +32000
Liam Lawson +32000
Isack Hadjar +32000
Esteban Ocon +32000
Oliver Bearman +32000
Yuki Tsunoda +42000
Nico Hulkenberg +42000
Gabriel Bortoleto +42000
Lance Stroll +42000
Pierre Gasly +42000
Franco Colapinto +42000
These odds reflect a wide field where experience meets youthful ambition, underscoring the Hungarian Grand Prix’s potential for dramatic and unpredictable racing moments.
Why this Race Matters in the Championship Battle
The Hungaroring has long been a track where driver skill and strategic prowess are tested on a technical and twisty circuit. Piastri’s leading position and Norris’s constant pressure make this Grand Prix critical in determining the drivers’ championship narrative, especially with Verstappen attempting to close a significant points gap. At the same time, strong performances by rookies like Hadjar could signal a shift in the sport’s competitive dynamics.
This race will play a pivotal role in both constructors’ and drivers’ standings as it is among the final races before the season’s climax. Given McLaren’s current dominance and Verstappen’s recent struggles, the 2025 Hungarian Grand Prix could either reinforce the McLaren duo’s title fight or allow rivals to regain momentum heading into the latter part of the season.
In addition, the reliable predictions from SportsLine’s model bring a valuable perspective for fans and bettors to anticipate outcomes and identify potential winning strategies moving forward.