All 30 MLB teams take the field this Saturday, offering a wide array of betting opportunities, with the Riley Greene Tigers home run prop standing out as a top pick. Among the featured props are Mets pitcher Kodai Senga aiming to extend his unbeaten streak and Cardinals outfielder Victor Scott II’s chances to steal a base, making this Saturday’s slate loaded with intriguing options for bettors.

Kodai Senga will start again for the Mets against the San Francisco Giants, trying to build on a strong seven-game streak without a loss. Despite a solid 3-0 record and a 2.80 ERA during that period, Senga faces a challenging matchup in a ballpark where his career ERA against the Giants sits at 6.30. The strikeout line is set at 6.5, but the SportsLine model leans toward under, based on Senga’s recent strikeout trends.

Victor Scott’s Base-Stealing Chances Look Promising Against Padres

Victor Scott II, who has stolen bases in two of his last four games, faces a Padres pitcher, Randy Vasquez, who has struggled to control base runners. This matchup makes Scott a strong candidate to achieve at least one stolen base, with SportsLine’s model offering a line at +244, while the sportsbook offers +350, highlighting significant value.

Kodai Senga’s Strikeout Total Points Toward Under 6.5

Despite an impressive ERA this season, Senga’s strikeout totals have been modest. He has fallen short of 6.5 strikeouts in five consecutive starts and in 16 of his last 20 outings. For Saturday’s game, the projection is approximately 5.7 strikeouts, supporting a bet on the under at -130 odds.

Riley Greene Leads Tigers with Powerful Homing Run Potential

Tiger’s slugger Riley Greene is a central figure to watch with his home run prop set at over 0.5 home runs (+475). Greene has been in excellent form, hitting .274 this season and launching 26 home runs, including one against the Diamondbacks just days ago. His recent hot streak of nine home runs since late June places him in prime position to continue his strong performance, especially against the Philadelphia Phillies this Saturday. The model sets his odds at +279, creating a favorable betting proposition for fans and bettors alike.

Comprehensive MLB Prop Betting Cheat Sheet for Home Runs, Stolen Bases, and Strikeouts

The SportsLine Projection Model, developed and maintained by the Inside the Lines team, provides detailed player prop projections to highlight the best value bets. Updated throughout game days, the model compares its projected expected values with current sportsbook odds to identify edges bettors can exploit. Its approach has yielded strong returns this season, particularly with home run props, contributing nearly 40 units of profit.

This cheat sheet includes projections and recommended betting lines for over 0.5 home runs, stolen bases, and strikeouts across Saturday’s games. For example, Nick Kurtz and Cal Raleigh are among the leaders in home run projections. Raleigh’s best odds are +275 at ESPN, while Kurtz offers greater value at +310 on bet365, indicating a more attractive wager opportunity.

For starting pitchers’ strikeouts, bettors are advised to compare the model’s strikeout projection to available betting lines. A small discrepancy can signal value, especially if the odds on an under bet are favorable. This strategic comparison can lead to smarter wagering choices that maximize profits over time.

Additional MLB Picks Available for All Saturday Games

Bettors looking for a comprehensive set of player prop projections across Saturday’s full MLB slate can find detailed analysis and picks at SportsLine. The model’s simulation-driven approach ensures that users have access to informed betting options that factor in player form, matchups, and situational factors across every game.

“Victor Scott has recorded a stolen base in two of his last four games, and he has a favorable matchup against Padres pitcher Randy Vasquez, who is not good at preventing stolen bases. The model sets Scott’s line at +244 to steal a base on Saturday night, providing plenty of value at +350.” —SportsLine Analyst

“Senga has an outstanding ERA this season, but his strikeout numbers are not as impressive as some of the other elite pitchers. He has gone under this line in five consecutive starts and eight of his last 10. Additionally, he has gone under in 16 of his last 20 starts, and the model projects him to finish with 5.7 strikeouts on Saturday afternoon.” —SportsLine Analyst

“Greene leads Detroit with 26 home runs this season, and he just homered against the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. He is batting .274 and has five hits in his last three games, so he is seeing the ball well right now. Greene has nine homers since June 28, and the model has his projected line at +279 for his matchup against Philadelphia on Saturday.” —SportsLine Analyst