For the MLB games on Monday, August 4, Kyle Stowers is among the top picks for player props, alongside Warming Bernabel and Luis Arraez. These selections focus on total bases, reflecting each hitter’s recent form and matchup advantages. The primary focus is on Kyle Stowers MLB player props, given his impressive rise and impact in the ongoing season.
The main player prop bets for the day are Kyle Stowers over 1.5 total bases at +120 on DraftKings, Warming Bernabel over 1.5 total bases at -105 on Fanatics, and Luis Arraez over 1.5 total bases at -120 on DraftKings.
Kyle Stowers Powers Miami Marlins Against Houston Astros
Kyle Stowers has been a standout this season, making frequent appearances in player prop discussions due to his remarkable performance. Entering 2025 with six career home runs, the 27-year-old has already smashed 25 this year while maintaining a solid batting average. Over the past month, Stowers has hit .347, launched 10 home runs, driven in 26 runs, and recorded an OPS of 1.247.
His contributions have helped the Miami Marlins reach a .500 record after a difficult start, improving from 24-40 on the season. On August 4, the Marlins will face the Houston Astros at LoanDepot Park, where Stowers is expected to be a major offensive threat.
The Astros will rely on Jason Alexander, who has struggled this year with a 7.83 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Although a couple of poor outings have inflated these stats, Alexander’s difficulty against left-handed hitters is a consistent concern. Lefties are batting .327/.415/.636 against him with 10 extra-base hits allowed in just 55 at-bats, including three home runs.
Stowers, whose 24 homers this season have come against right-handed pitchers, holds an OPS of 1.001 against them. Although he is +350 to hit a home run tonight on DraftKings, even without a homer, expectations are high for him to reach base frequently. He has recorded a hit in eight of his last 10 games and amassed two or more total bases in seven of those contests while averaging 2.4 total bases per game recently.
Given these factors, backing Kyle Stowers over 1.5 total bases at +120 is a confident play once again.
Warming Bernabel Looks to Extend Hot Start Against Blue Jays
Rookie Warming Bernabel, despite a brief MLB career spanning only eight games, has made an impressive early impact. After recording hits in his first seven games, Bernabel aims to rebound after going hitless in his most recent outing. He currently sports a .438 batting average with three home runs, eight RBIs, and an outstanding 1.361 OPS.
On Monday, Bernabel will face Eric Lauer and the Toronto Blue Jays. Lauer has been a reliable pitcher for Toronto this season, yet pitching at Coors Field presents challenges even for skilled arms. The Colorado Rockies, although struggling overall this year, have found offensive success in their recent home games, scoring 63 runs over nine contests since the All-Star break. This includes a strong performance against Paul Skenes, where they managed four earned runs en route to an 8-5 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals.
Right-handed hitters have advanced against Lauer, with 18 extra-base hits allowed, including seven home runs. Bernabel has shown power in his limited action, with eight of his 14 hits going for extra bases. He has also registered at least two total bases in five of his eight games and is averaging 3.6 total bases per appearance. Bernabel is listed at +575 for a home run on BetMGM, indicating the potential for a big night.
Luis Arraez Poised to Maintain Momentum Against Diamondbacks
Luis Arraez experienced some early struggles in July but has since ignited a hitting streak that now spans 17 games. During this streak, he has hit .400, collected four doubles, one home run, six RBIs, and posted a .942 OPS. This hot stretch bodes well for his matchup against Brandon Pfaadt and the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Historically, Arraez has excelled against Pfaadt, batting 10-for-19 (.526) with two doubles and an OPS of 1.158. Pfaadt has conceded a .277 average to left-handed hitters this season, surrendering 32 extra-base hits and maintaining an overall .829 OPS against them. Arraez’s total bases output has been strong as well; in four of five games started by Pfaadt, he has notched two total bases or more, averaging 2.2 total bases per game.
More broadly, Arraez has recorded at least two total bases in 9 of 16 games during his hitting streak, maintaining an average of 2.1 total bases per game. Given these trends, surpassing 1.5 total bases again seems likely, even if achieved through two singles. Arraez has had two-hit games in five of his last seven and is +125 to register multiple hits on this night.
Implications of These Player Prop Picks for August 4
The suggested player props for Kyle Stowers, Warming Bernabel, and Luis Arraez present promising opportunities on August 4, supported by recent statistics and matchup details. Stowers continues to lead Miami’s resurgence with power and consistency, benefiting from a favorable pitching matchup against Jason Alexander. Bernabel’s impressive debut signals potential breakout performances despite his limited MLB experience, while Arraez’s prolonged hitting streak and success against the Diamondbacks’ starter reinforce his value as a bet.
These selections highlight the rising impact of emerging hitters and underline the importance of exploiting pitcher vulnerabilities, especially against left-handed bats. The performance of these players could influence further betting strategies and fantasy considerations as the 2025 MLB season progresses.