San Diego Padres star Fernando Tatis Jr. is positioned as a top MLB home run bet for Friday, holding +420 odds to hit a homer according to FanDuel Sportsbook. After a slow start in August and a couple of rest days, Tatis gears up to face Boston Red Sox pitcher Walker Buehler, who has allowed 19 home runs in 19 starts, marking a favorable matchup for the outfielder in the Friday MLB schedule.
The MLB home run props market is bustling with opportunities as numerous players present attractive odds to go long. Among the highlighted picks, Athletics rookie Tyler Soderstrom stands at +500, while Detroit Tigers’ Kerry Carpenter offers +400 odds. SportsLine’s team of data scientists relies on a sophisticated projection model that simulates games thousands of times to identify such valuable home run bets on key players for Friday night’s lineup. This model has maintained a strong record so far this season, delivering substantial winnings and accurate parlays for bettors.
Friday’s Top Home Run Candidates and MLB Betting Insights
Tyler Soderstrom is coming off consecutive games with home runs, both against left-handed pitchers, despite limited success against them earlier in the season. He now faces a right-handed starter in a hitter-friendly environment, strengthening his chances further. His performance against righties has been impressive, with an .855 OPS and 18 of his 21 total home runs against right-handed pitching. The opposing pitcher, Sugano, has conceded 21 homers in as many starts, making this an appealing matchup. SportsLine’s model offers Soderstrom at +350 on BetMGM, where new bettors can enjoy bonus bet promotions.
Kerry Carpenter has shown strong hitting form since returning from injury, tallying five home runs in his last ten games. Known for his power against righties, Carpenter boasts an .868 OPS and 18 of his 20 home runs off right-handed pitching. His matchup against Kyle Hendricks is intriguing, as Hendricks, though a subtle 86 mph pitcher, keeps hitters off balance and performs better against left-handed batters. Despite Hendricks’ control, Carpenter’s +400 odds represent significant value. SportsLine has set his line at +355 available at BetMGM as well.
Why Fernando Tatis Jr. Could Break Through Against Buehler
Fernando Tatis Jr.’s recent power surge has been limited, with only four home runs since June started, but his historical success against Walker Buehler adds an intriguing angle. Tatis is 10-for-32 with five home runs against Buehler, who currently struggles on the road with a 7.44 ERA. The outfielder’s confidence could be bolstered by Buehler’s .328 batting average and .949 OPS allowed to opponents away from home. Additionally, the expected hitter-friendly weather fits well with Tatis’ profile. Though SportsLine’s model does not assign extraordinary value to this bet, the +420 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook are seen as fair, especially with available promo bonuses for new users.
Available Platforms for MLB Home Run Prop Bets on Friday
A variety of sportsbooks are providing MLB home run prop bets this Friday, each offering promotions that can enhance betting value. Caesars Sportsbook promotes a bet $1, double your winnings on the next 10 bets feature with code CBSDYW. BetMGM extends up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first wager loses, using code CBSSPORTS. FanDuel is offering $150 in bonus bets if your first bet of $5 or more wins, and DraftKings provides a $200 bonus on NFL Sunday Ticket purchases along with $200 in bonus bets after your initial $5 wager. Fanatics gives 10x $100 No Sweat Bets in FanCash, while bet365 offers $150 in bonus bets regardless of betting outcomes.
Where to Follow More MLB Home Run Projections and Daily Bets
SportsLine continues to provide comprehensive MLB prop projections and daily betting advice beyond the highlighted home run picks. Their models run extensive simulations to give bettors insights into player props across all games, helping identify value plays with strong predictive backing. For in-depth and current betting suggestions, including live updates and trend analyses, the Inside the Lines blog remains a recommended resource for MLB fans and bettors aiming to maximize their success on game day.