Outfielder James Wood has emerged as a key player for the Washington Nationals this season, delivering strong offensive numbers despite the team’s ongoing rebuilding efforts following recent leadership changes. On Monday, Wood and the Nationals will face the Kansas City Royals and left-handed pitcher Bailey Falter, presenting a prime opportunity for Wood to add to his home run tally. This matchup, combined with Wood’s enticing +550 odds in the latest <a href="https://www.buzzineintl.com/category/baseball/mlb/”>MLB home run props, makes him a top pick for bettors looking to capitalize on Monday’s MLB action.
Analyzing James Wood’s Role and Recent Performance
James Wood, a 22-year-old outfielder, is currently slashing .257/.357/.487 with 25 home runs and 77 RBIs, showcasing his offensive impact despite Washington’s struggles. Recently, Wood has been especially productive, posting five extra-base hits in his last three games, including four doubles and a home run. This surge in form adds to the appeal of betting on his power display against the Royals.
Wood is notable for being a left-handed batter who handles left-handed pitching unusually well, maintaining a batting average of .271 against lefties compared to .250 versus right-handed pitchers this season. This ability neutralizes an often difficult matchup, as Monday’s opposing pitcher, Bailey Falter, is a struggling left-hander who has allowed nine home runs in six starts since early July. Additionally, Wood’s offensive numbers have been slightly better on the road, which aligns well with the Nationals’ road game in Kansas City.
MLB Home Run Prop Picks Backed by Advanced Projections
SportsLine’s Projection Model—which runs 10,000 simulations per MLB game—has been successful this season, netting a 58.9 units gain on individual home run picks. The model nailed two of three MLB home run choices on Saturday and selected <a href="https://www.buzzineintl.com/tag/riley-greene/”>Riley Greene (+500) successfully on Sunday, alongside calling multiple high-paying parlays. For Monday’s contests, the data scientists have provided betting projections for several standout home run prop bets, highlighting value opportunities across the league.
The top home run picks for Monday, August 11, include:
- James Wood, Nationals (+550)
- Riley Greene, Tigers (+400)
- Ryan McMahon, Yankees (+470)
- A three-player parlay available at BetMGM with combined odds of +16150 (subject to change)
Why James Wood Remains a Strong Pick at +550
Wood showed signs of breaking through a recent home run drought on Saturday and has delivered two consecutive two-hit games, despite striking out three times in each of those contests. Additionally, he has managed to hit a double in each of his last three outings. Given his superior performance against left-handers and the Royals’ Bailey Falter’s vulnerability to the long ball, Wood’s odds represent strong value.
SportsLine set Wood’s home run line at +412, indicating even better value with BetMGM’s +550 odds currently available. This offer can be enhanced with BetMGM’s promotional deal, which gives new users up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their first wager loses.
Other Noteworthy Home Run Picks for Monday
Riley Greene, Detroit Tigers (+400, FanDuel): Coming off a successful home run pick the previous day, Riley Greene is once again featured prominently. Greene has amassed 25 of his 27 home runs against right-handed pitchers and has found considerable success on the road, hitting 15 homers in 53 road games this season. With the White Sox opening games using a left-handed pitcher early before switching to right-hander Tyler Alexander, Greene is well-positioned to see multiple at-bats against right-handed pitching. FanDuel is offering +400 odds on Greene to homer, which is slightly higher than the model’s derived +330 line, making it an attractive bet. Additionally, FanDuel’s promotion awards $300 in bonus bets if a first wager of $5 or more wins.
Ryan McMahon, New York Yankees (+470, FanDuel): McMahon started his tenure with the Yankees strongly but has gone homerless in his last 15 games. This suggests he may be due for a power surge. Facing rookie right-hander Zebby Matthews, McMahon holds a 1-for-2 batting record against him with one home run. Matthews has allowed an opposing batting average of .289 on the road, meaning McMahon could exploit Yankee Stadium’s favorable right-field dimensions. SportsLine assigned McMahon a homer line of +390, which enhances the appeal of FanDuel’s +470 odds. This creates significant value for those backing the Yankees’ slugger to break his current home run drought.
Where to Find the Best MLB Home Run Prop Bets on Monday
Several sportsbooks will offer home run prop bets for Monday’s MLB games, including:
Caesars: Bet $1, double your winnings next 10 bets with code CBSDYW.
BetMGM: Receive up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses with code CBSSPORTS.
FanDuel: Bet $5 and earn $300 in bonus bets if your first wager wins.
DraftKings: Bet $5 to get $200 in bonus bets instantly plus $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
Fanatics: Bet and earn ten $100 No Sweat Bets in FanCash.
bet365: Bet $5 and get $150 in bonus bets regardless of win or lose.
Further MLB Prop Betting Opportunities
In addition to the highlighted home run props, comprehensive MLB player prop projections are available daily through SportsLine, enabling bettors to explore a wide range of insights and uncover value across multiple games. These projections support informed decision-making ahead of each slate of MLB action, enhancing the overall betting experience.