
New York Mets star Pete Alonso agreed to a two-year, $54 million contract with an opt-out clause following the 2025 season, finalizing the deal ahead of spring training this year. This agreement ended a challenging offseason marked by tense negotiations between Alonso and the Mets’ management, as discussions about his future unfolded amid uncertainty.
Although Alonso aimed for a long-term contract, the Mets hesitated to offer such a deal due to concerns about the typical decline in production among right-handed first basemen over 30. Teams generally view these players as likely to experience a rapid decrease in performance as they age, which added complexity to Alonso’s contract talks.
Alonso’s Performance Challenges the Doubts
Despite the Mets’ reservations, Alonso has maintained impressive form throughout the current season. By August 11, he recorded a .264 batting average, an .861 OPS, 26 home runs, and 93 RBIs, signalling a potentially career-best campaign. These statistics highlight that Alonso is far from experiencing the downturn often predicted for players in his role and age group.
Analysis of Alonso’s Upcoming Free Agency by Industry Expert
However, even with Alonso’s strong season, doubts remain about whether he will secure the long-term, high-value contract he previously sought. CBS Sports analyst R.J. Anderson addressed this perspective in an August report outlining the top free agents for the approaching offseason.

Who’s ready for another round of Alonso discourse? He may well establish a new career high in OPS+ this season, making it unlikely that he exercises his $24 million player option. That doesn’t necessarily mean that he’s conquered the ghouls and goblins who haunted his free agency last offseason, nor does it mean he’s going to find the kind of lucrative long-term contract that he would’ve been a few decades ago,
Anderson wrote.
Rather, Alonso’s general profile (a 30-something right-right first baseman) and brow-raising underlying statistics (despite a reduced strikeout rate, his in-zone contact rate has declined by nearly six percentage points) could again limit his outlook to a shorter-term arrangement worth between $27 and 30 million annually,
he added.
Future Implications for Alonso and MLB Teams
Despite the cautious tone from experts, Alonso was still identified as the sixth most valuable free agent in Anderson’s analysis, underscoring his significant impact and reputation in Major League Baseball. This suggests that while long-term contracts may not be forthcoming, Alonso’s power hitting will likely guarantee his spot as a key middle-of-the-lineup player for some MLB team going forward.
The Mets’ reluctance to extend a lengthy deal reflects broader trends in baseball regarding aging players at specific positions, but Alonso’s ongoing achievements ensure his free agency will remain a point of focus in the sport. How teams respond to his profile in the coming offseason will shape both his career trajectory and roster-building strategies across the league.