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Jake Ferguson Cowboys Fantasy Draft: Late-Round Sleeper or Risky Pick in 2025?

Jake Ferguson is expected to see a reduced role in the Dallas Cowboys‘ offense next season, yet he still remains a fantasy football candidate worth considering. As he enters his fourth NFL season in 2025, Ferguson aims to prove his value to a team moving forward under new leadership after Mike McCarthy’s firing.

While prominent tight ends like George Kittle, Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz, and Travis Kelce are top-tier fantasy choices, Ferguson presents a viable mid to late-round option for fantasy managers seeking depth at the tight end position.

Forecasting Ferguson’s Fantasy Performance and Statistical Outlook

During a shortened 14-game 2024 campaign, Ferguson totaled 104.4 fantasy points, ranking as the 11th best tight end (TE11) and 118th overall according to ESPN. He recorded 59 receptions for 494 yards but failed to score a touchdown, a career low in scoring.

Among Dallas pass-catchers, only CeeDee Lamb and Jalen Tolbert surpassed Ferguson’s target and yardage totals, with 86 targets and 494 yards respectively putting him just behind those key receivers. His involvement suggests he maintained importance despite decreased scoring production.

The departure of offensive coordinator Mike McCarthy and promotion of Brian Schottenheimer to head coach introduces uncertainty about Ferguson’s role. Adding wide receiver George Pickens from the Pittsburgh Steelers could further impact his target share in the Cowboys passing game.

According to Sportskeeda’s draft tool, Ferguson’s predicted outputs trail Cleveland Browns’ tight end David Njoku, who is ranked TE12. Ferguson’s drop from 10th to 23rd in fantasy points per game from 2023 to 2024 reflects a decline, although injuries played a part in reducing his field time.

When Dak Prescott was healthy in 2024, Ferguson averaged 10.2 fantasy points per game, highlighting Prescott’s influence on his production. Following a disappointing 7-10 Cowboys season, Ferguson could capitalize on opportunities if the team’s leading receivers, such as Lamb and Pickens, face tough matchups or struggle.

Where Jake Ferguson Fits in Fantasy Draft Strategies for 2025

In 2025 drafts, Jake Ferguson emerges as a promising late-round sleeper selection. He offers consistency without the flashiness of elite tight ends, making him a dependable option that fulfills his duties regularly. Fantasy managers would benefit from targeting him as a TE2 with upside potential to break into top-10 performances occasionally.

Still, Dallas’ adjustment to Brian Schottenheimer’s system leaves Ferguson’s growth uncertain. His ability to improve upon 2024’s output remains to be seen as the Cowboys attempt to rebound from their previous season’s struggles.

Ferguson’s value depends on how well the Cowboys stabilize their offense and how much Dak Prescott’s health and decision-making can sustain his involvement in the passing game.

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