Tyler Allgeier emerged as a rookie with over 1,000 rushing yards, a feat often overlooked amid Atlanta Falcons star Bijan Robinson’s spotlight. Since entering the <a href="https://www.buzzineintl.com/category/football/nfl/”>NFL, Allgeier has been remarkably durable, missing just one game across three seasons and totaling 580 touches. Among running backs with at least 50 targets since 2022, he ranks third in catch rate, highlighting his reliability as a receiver out of the backfield. These factors make Allgeier an intriguing late-round pick in the 2025 fantasy drafts, especially for those who may not secure Robinson early.

While Robinson’s elite status as Atlanta’s primary ball carrier overshadows Allgeier’s role, the backup’s affordable average draft position (ADP) and proven productivity position him as an insurance asset with upside. Managers wary of relying solely on Robinson’s health would benefit from having Allgeier on their roster, as he offers solid contingency value.

Evaluating Allgeier’s Role and Upside for the 2025 Season

Drafting Allgeier with realistic expectations supports a sound roster-building strategy, especially in a demanding NFL season marathon. Some backups can genuinely share workload and chip in meaningful points alongside their primary running backs. This summer, players like Jordan Mason from the Vikings, Cam Skattebo of the Giants, and Jaydon Blue on the Cowboys are examples of backs expected to earn a role sufficient to garner fantasy relevance by season’s end. However, Allgeier’s upside is distinct: although less likely to carve out a regular-day role when Robinson is healthy, his talent and prior output make him a more reliable fallback choice than many peers.

Since joining the league, Allgeier’s production has exceeded expectations by 3.7 percent, ranking him 10th among running backs with a minimum of 500 carries. He shares this positive trajectory with respected players like Kyren Williams and Josh Jacobs, indicating Allgeier’s quality as a runner entering his physical prime. This level of dependable depth is exactly what fantasy managers seek on their benches, providing peace of mind in case an injury shifts the team’s backfield dynamics.

Robinson’s profile is unique—he is the top overall player in many fantasy drafts, boasting durability and a workload reminiscent of Adrian Peterson early in his career. Yet, that heavy usage also introduces an inherent risk factor. Should Robinson miss games, Allgeier would immediately transition into a strong weekly starter role regardless of opponent strength, providing a level of security unmatched by many late-round flier receivers.

In a healthy Falcons backfield, Allgeier’s role is limited; he surpassed 12 carries only once in the last 20 games, a result primarily driven by an unusual blowout against Carolina. Despite this, Allgeier’s clarity of role as a backup is valuable: fantasy owners understand exactly when to deploy him and when to hold. His steadiness makes him an attractive option over less proven backups like Braelon Allens or Jaylen Wright, and even over injury-prone but higher-profile backs such as JK Dobbins or Austin Ekeler, who may lack a clear path to consistent playing time.

Strategic Approach to Drafting Tyler Allgeier and Similar Backups

Fantasy managers targeting Allgeier also often consider players in the same production tier, such as Zach Charbonnet, Isaac Guerendo, and Ray Davis. Focusing on multiple backfields expands weekly starting lineup flexibility by increasing touch volume across your roster, reducing dependency on a single team’s success or injury fortune. This diversification strategy proves particularly useful if draft capital prevents securing a team’s clear starting running back early on.

For example, drafting Charbonnet as a hedge against a potential Kenneth Walker III injury allows managers to benefit from health risks in rival lineups, while continuing to start their initial picks. Fantasy football success hinges not just on individual players, but on maximizing overall opportunity and touches available across your roster each week—a principle that highlights the value of Allgeier’s dependable upside amidst uncertainty.

Assessing Dan Fornek’s Projection for Tyler Allgeier in 2025

Throughout the 2024 season, Tyler Allgeier played a clear complementary role alongside Bijan Robinson in Atlanta’s backfield. In the first 10 weeks, Allgeier averaged 8.5 carries, 0.8 targets, and 48.6 all-purpose yards per game, scoring twice and posting a notable RB1 fantasy finish during that span. Though his per-game PPR average was 7.1 points, his involvement showed potential for contribution beyond backup status.

In Week 10, Allgeier sustained a quadriceps injury but remarkably missed no games, which allowed Robinson to further assume control of the Falcons’ rushing duties. From Weeks 11 to 18, Allgeier’s snap share fell to 20.5 percent, with just 7.4 carries and 0.7 targets per game, along with a decrease to 35.1 all-purpose yards. This decline underscores how much of Allgeier’s fantasy value hinges on Robinson’s availability.

Looking ahead to 2025, it is unlikely that Allgeier’s role will differ significantly unless Robinson’s circumstances change. Robinson’s explosiveness and young skill set, combined with Atlanta’s strong offensive line and promising quarterback situation, suggest the team will continue emphasizing their run game. Allgeier is expected to maintain a supporting role unless injury elevations occur.

If Robinson were sidelined, Allgeier would instantly become a locked-in RB2 with upside to perform as a low-end RB1, marking him as a vital insurance pick for cautious fantasy managers. The peace of mind Allgeier offers as a dependable handcuff with proven flashes of effectiveness makes him a must-have for 2025 drafts focused on minimizing risk.

“Robinson has yet to miss a game in his career and has handled 637 touches across those 34 regular season contests. That level of usage gives him peak Adrian Peterson upside, though it also introduces risk that, at the very least, has to be considered.” —Dan Fornek, Fantasy Analyst

“Should he miss time, Allgeier moves into the weekly starter tier at the position regardless of matchup, and that’s a nice level of security to have sitting on your bench, something that the flier receivers in this ADP range simply don’t offer.” —Dan Fornek, Fantasy Analyst

“Allgeier ranks 10th at the position in production over expectation (+3.7%) since entering the league (minimum 500 carries), swimming in the same pool as Kyren Williams (+4.1%) and Josh Jacobs (+3.4%) over that stretch.” —Dan Fornek, Fantasy Analyst