Mike Trout is approaching a significant career milestone as he nears 400 home runs in his 15th Major League Baseball season. Entering Tuesday’s game against the Cincinnati Reds with 398 homers, the Angels outfielder has shown greater durability this year despite past injury setbacks, making him one of the most compelling MLB home run picks for August 19.
Trout’s improved health this season has allowed him to reach 20 home runs for the tenth time in his career, a testament to his enduring power and skill. The matchup in Anaheim presents an ideal opportunity, with favorable weather conditions and wind blowing out, enhancing his chances at the plate.
Overview of Leading MLB Home Run Predictions for August 19
The current MLB home run odds place Mike Trout at +360 to hit a home run during Tuesday’s game, a price that stands out compared to other selections. Alongside Trout, Mickey Moniak of the Colorado Rockies and Cody Bellinger of the New York Yankees are noted as strong contenders, both set at +450 odds. Betting on these players as a parlay could yield odds as high as +12780, according to SportsLine projections.
SportsLine’s projection model, which runs 10,000 simulations per game, has been effective this season, achieving a 54.4-unit profit on individual home run bets and correctly predicting high-paying parlays. The analytics team provides daily MLB betting insights to help bettors find valuable props.
Why Mike Trout Remains a Top Bet Despite Recent Performance
At FanDuel, Trout’s home run odds sit at +360, slightly better than the general consensus of +300. While Trout’s recent hitting form has not peaked, his on-base skills remain strong; he has drawn 12 walks in the past eight games, showing that pitchers continue to respect him at the plate. Trout’s 18 of 20 homers this year have come against right-handed pitchers, and he boasts an impressive .869 OPS at home.
Although Trout has never faced Reds’ pitcher Hunter Greene before, the model forecasts a home run for him in this matchup. Greene has a notable split, performing strongly at home but more vulnerable when pitching on the road. This contrast gives Trout a probable edge under favorable conditions.
Mickey Moniak’s Advantage in Colorado’s Hitter-Friendly Environment
Mickey Moniak has thrived at Coors Field this season, displaying a .295/.344/.580 slash line in 53 home games, while his numbers on the road lag behind at .215/.250/.416. Although his form has cooled slightly in August following strong performances in June and July, the model still rates him as a good home run candidate.
Moniak has 18 home runs this season, with 17 against right-handed pitchers. Emmet Sheehan, starting for the opposing team, has struggled against left-handed hitters in particular, conceding a .785 OPS this year. With the game‘s total runs expected near 12, Moniak’s line is projected around +385, making him an appealing pick bolstered by the hitter-friendly altitude of Coors Field.
Cody Bellinger’s Potential Return to Power at the Yankees’ Spring Training Venue
Cody Bellinger has encountered difficulties hitting on the road, which explains his +450 odds to homer. However, Tuesday’s game takes place at the Yankees’ spring training facility in Tampa, where Bellinger has previously connected for a home run this season.
The opposing starter, Rays’ Shane Baz, has a 6.54 ERA at home and has allowed 13 home runs in 12 starts. Since the All-Star break, Baz’s performance has declined, with opponents posting a .305 batting average and an .869 OPS against him in his last five appearances. The model sets Bellinger’s home run line at +380, positioning the current +450 odds at BetMGM as a solid opportunity for bettors seeking value.
Where to Place MLB Home Run Prop Bets on August 19
Several sportsbooks are offering home run props for Tuesday’s MLB games, each with attractive promotions for new customers. Caesars Sportsbook doubles winnings on the next ten bets after a $1 wager with code CBSDYW. BetMGM offers up to $1,500 in bonus bets if a first wager loses under code CBSSPORTS. FanDuel rewards new users with $300 in bonus bets if their first bet of $5 or more wins. DraftKings provides $200 in bonus bets instantly plus an <a href="https://www.buzzineintl.com/category/football/nfl/”>NFL Sunday Ticket discount for new users. Fanatics gives 10x $100 No Sweat Bets in FanCash, and bet365 grants a $150 bonus bet regardless of win or loss with CBSBET365.
Additional MLB Player Prop Projections for Tuesday
Beyond these highlighted selections, the SportsLine model and its team of data scientists provide projections for virtually every player prop across the MLB slate. This expansive data-driven approach aids bettors in making informed decisions throughout the season.