Dallas Goedert demonstrated his importance to the Philadelphia Eagles by scoring a touchdown in their Wild Card victory over the Green Bay Packers and contributing nine touches in the <a href="https://www.buzzineintl.com/category/football/nfl/nfc/”>NFC Championship game against the Washington Commanders. Despite these moments, his standing in the fantasy football community has declined, raising questions about his appeal as a late-round draft choice this summer amid evolving trends at the tight end position.
Goedert remains a reliable option who has maintained a consistent role, but fantasy managers must consider whether his volume and upside are sufficient compared to emerging tight ends. Should drafters view him as a viable “wait-for-TE” target late in drafts, or is it better to take a chance on players offering wider ranges of outcomes?
Assessing Goedert’s Role and Production in Philadelphia’s Offense
Goedert is far from finished as a solid NFL tight end. Last season, he ranked as the fourth-best running back after catch (YAC) at his position, a strong suit that has persisted over four years. His ability to operate effectively after the catch matches well with the respect defenses must pay to the Eagles’ run-heavy game plan.
However, Goedert’s target volume tells a different story. He did not exceed 30 routes run in any regular-season game after Week 3 and has not earned more than five end-zone targets in a season since 2019. Historically, tight ends were primarily valued for touchdowns, but the position in fantasy is shifting toward those with higher target shares and chain-moving capabilities.
The NFL has seen a new generation of tight ends, such as Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, who serve as focal points for their offenses and can create mismatches. Similarly, Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland, and the recent free agency moves involving Evan Engram and Mike Gesicki indicate a league trend toward prioritizing tight ends with broader involvement. This stylistic change has deflated the stock of tight ends like Goedert, whose role remains steady but limited in scale.
Data on average depth of target (aDOT) illustrates a subtle decline across recent NFL seasons—from 8.2 yards (2016-18) to 7.7 yards (2022-24)—signifying defenses’ increasing focus on disrupting explosive plays. With Philadelphia’s balanced attack featuring two strong wide receivers and an elite rushing attack, Goedert simply does not receive the volume necessary to maximize fantasy value at the tight end position.
Goedert’s Statistical Profile and Fantasy Ranking
Despite declining volume, Goedert maintains respectable efficiency metrics. In eight games where he played at least 60% of the snaps last year, he posted a 20.2% target share, averaged 55.1 receiving yards per game, and had a yards per route run (YPRR) of 2.23. His 25.2% share of being the quarterback’s first read and 11.8 PPR points per game ranked him among the top 10 tight ends:
“Dallas Goedert
last yr in the 8 gms he played at least 60% of the snaps
20.2% target share
55.1 receiving yds/game
2.23 YPRR
25.2% 1st-read share
11.8 PPR ppg
last year among 47 qual TEs that would have ranked
(per @FantasyPtsData)
6th
4th
4th
3rd
TE8”
—Derek Brown, Fantasy Analyst
Goedert has posted strong percentages of red zone routes resulting in targets in his past two seasons, suggesting upside that numbers alone might not fully capture. Still, he is a known quantity: a reliable secondary option rather than a centerpiece fantasy asset. This leads to concerns that if drafted based on his reputation, fantasy managers may hang on to him longer than advisable if his production falters.
Over the last 17 regular-season games, Goedert has surpassed 55 receiving yards only four times. This inconsistency diminishes his appeal, especially when competing for late-round picks where higher upside is often the goal. Accordingly, Goedert is unlikely to appear on many redraft rosters in 2025.
Expert Perspective: Frank Ammirante’s Projection for Goedert
Analyst Frank Ammirante noted that Goedert’s recent season, with 42 receptions on 52 targets, 496 yards, and two touchdowns, fell short of expectations amid Philadelphia’s run-heavy offense and crowded receiving group. However, there is potential for increased passing volume due to a tougher schedule, which could benefit Goedert’s usage.
Ammirante suggests that Goedert carries conditional upside — if Eagles star wide receivers AJ Brown or DeVonta Smith miss playing time, Goedert would likely become a stronger fantasy option. In deeper leagues, pairing Goedert with a younger player like Jake Ferguson could be a sensible late-round strategy. Conversely, in more shallow leagues, targeting younger tight ends such as Tucker Kraft might be preferable.
For best ball formats featuring an Eagles stack, Goedert provides worthwhile value. Ammirante recommends drafting one wide receiver wideout for insurance if the other were to miss time, and he favors Goedert over other tight ends like Dalton Kincaid in that setup.
Implications for 2025 Fantasy Football Draft Strategies
Dallas Goedert’s fantasy football outlook for 2025 is a mix of steady reliability but capped upside, indicative of a veteran player whose consistent role may no longer align with evolving positional expectations. Although he remains a useful late-round target, his limited target share and lack of explosive ceiling restrict his value compared to younger tight ends breaking out in modern offenses.
Fantasy football managers should approach Goedert as a known, volume-limited option, recognizing that his presence on an explosive Eagles offense helps contain risk but does not promise a breakout season. For those waiting to draft a tight end late, Goedert can fill a role; however, those looking for high upside may be better off taking calculated risks on emerging talents with more dynamic offensive involvement.
Ultimately, the changing landscape of the tight end position, highlighted by players like Brock Bowers and Trey McBride, signals a shift towards more versatile, target-heavy players. Goedert’s dependable but unspectacular production places him as a solid fallback rather than a game-changer, influencing draft strategies as the 2025 fantasy season approaches.