Tyler Allgeier quietly established himself with over 1,000 rushing yards during his rookie NFL season and has maintained remarkable durability, missing only one game over three years despite handling 580 touches. Since 2022, among running backs with at least 50 targets, Allgeier ranks third in catch rate, underscoring his reliability as a receiver out of the backfield—an often overlooked element in his production. With a lower average draft position (ADP), he stands out as a high-value late-round target in 2025, especially for fantasy managers who missed out on drafting Atlanta Falcons’ starter Bijan Robinson early on.
Robinson’s emergence as an elite running back has overshadowed Allgeier’s contributions, but considering Allgeier’s consistent output and opportunity to step up if Robinson misses time, he deserves more attention in fantasy drafts this offseason.
How Allgeier Fits Into Fantasy Rosters
Drafting Allgeier makes strategic sense for managers who want dependable depth at running back without relying solely on injury whims to unlock upside. Unlike other backups who may only earn significant playing time through injuries, Allgeier offers contingent upside that can translate into meaningful fantasy production. Although his chances to secure a starting role without an injury are slim, he provides clear roster security when the Falcons’ primary back is sidelined.
Historically, Allgeier has exceeded expectations, ranking 10th in production over expectation among running backs with at least 500 carries since his NFL debut. This group includes notable runners like Kyren Williams and Josh Jacobs, indicating that Allgeier is a proven talent entering his physical prime and a valuable source of running back depth.
The comparison between Allgeier and Bijan Robinson is notable. Robinson’s extensive usage—637 touches across 34 regular season games—reflects his role as a workhorse with Adrian Peterson-like potential. Yet, that volume also carries inherent injury risk, making Allgeier’s presence on your bench a form of insurance that many late-round flier receivers cannot offer.
While Allgeier’s typical game script involves limited carries—he topped 12 rushes only once in 20 games, that instance a fill-in during an Atlanta blowout—his value lies in his ability to slide into a weekly starting role if needed. For fantasy managers, this clarity on when to activate him simplifies roster management and avoids guesswork during the grind of a long NFL season.
Ranking Allgeier Among Late-Round Fantasy Options
When compared to other late-round running backs, Allgeier stands out as an early choice. His consistent role and upside make him a preferable pick over players like Braelon Allen and Jaylen Wright—backs with less established roles and clearer limitations. In fact, some managers may prioritize Allgeier ahead of emerging players such as J.K. Dobbins or Austin Ekeler, particularly due to the greater certainty he provides as an immediate contingency plan.
Among the pool of backs who could capitalize on injuries to their team’s starter, Allgeier is part of a competitive tier that includes Zach Charbonnet, Isaac Guerendo, and Ray Davis. The strategy around this group focuses on maximizing upside while diversifying exposure across multiple backfields. Drafting players like Charbonnet alongside an injury-prone starter such as Kenneth Walker III can yield significant rewards if health issues arise.
Fantasy football success hinges on accumulating volume at the position, not just locking in one standout running back. By spreading investments across potential backup starters, managers increase their odds of consistent weekly production and the ability to pivot during adversity.
Frank Ammirante’s Perspective on Allgeier’s Fantasy Outlook
According to Frank Ammirante, Tyler Allgeier ranks among the top handcuffs in the NFL, particularly valuable should Bijan Robinson miss any time. In scenarios where Allgeier assumes the lead role, he projects as an upside RB2 within an offense that has displayed continuous improvement. His ability to average over 4.7 yards per carry in two of three NFL seasons highlights his efficiency and competence running between the tackles.
However, Ammirante warns that Allgeier’s standalone value remains limited when Robinson is healthy, due mostly to his minimal involvement in the passing game. This restriction may cap Allgeier’s ceiling below that of other backups with more diverse skill sets. Managers should be careful not to flood their rosters with handcuffs lacking independent upside.
“Tyler Allgeier is one of the top handcuffs in the NFL. If Bijan Robinson were to miss time, Allgeier would become an upside RB2, carrying the load for an improving offense.”
—Frank Ammirante, Fantasy Football Analyst
“We’ve seen Allgeier average 4.7-plus yards per carry in two of three seasons, so this is an interior runner who is clearly capable of being efficient on the ground. But don’t expect much standalone value with Bijan healthy, as he’s the focal point of the Falcons’ offense.”
—Frank Ammirante, Fantasy Football Analyst
“If you take Allgeier, make sure to limit the number of handcuffs because you don’t want to overload your bench with players who don’t have standalone values. While I prefer other handcuffs like Zach Charbonnet or Ray Davis, Allgeier definitely deserves mention as one of the best.”
—Frank Ammirante, Fantasy Football Analyst
“The one issue is that there’s not a lot of receiving upside here, so if Allgeier did get forced into action due to a Robinson injury, I don’t see a top-12 ceiling like others may.”
—Frank Ammirante, Fantasy Football Analyst
The Strategic Importance of Drafting Allgeier Late
Targeting Tyler Allgeier in the later rounds of drafts offers fantasy managers a mix of stability and opportunity. His track record shows he is durable and productive, qualities that support a high floor when called upon, positioning him as more than just an insurance policy. Unlike many late-round receivers drafted as mere upside flyers, Allgeier has a straightforward path to meaningful weekly use if Atlanta’s lead back encounters health issues.
Securing Allgeier also aligns with the broader philosophy of roster diversification, particularly among running backs. The unpredictable nature of injuries elevates the significance of owning dependable backups who can seamlessly transition into starting roles. Allgeier’s physical prime and demonstrated ability make him a valuable depth piece to hold throughout the NFL season‘s challenges.
As fantasy seasons become marathons rather than sprints, incorporating a player like Allgeier provides a competitive advantage — one that balances hope and caution with tangible upside. For managers weighing risk and reward late in drafts, Allgeier’s profile reinforces the wisdom of selecting dependable handcuffs with proven production rather than gambling on unproven potential.